Livesey Evan J, Costa Daniel S J
a School of Psychology , University of Sydney , Sydney , Australia.
Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2014;67(4):646-64. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2013.824014. Epub 2013 Aug 25.
The Perruchet effect refers to a dissociation between conscious expectation of an event and the strength or speed of the response elicited by that event, which is revealed through sequential analyses of consecutive trials. For instance in a cued go/no-go task, over a run of consecutive go responses, participants perform the go task with increasing speed but display decreasing expectancy of the go response when asked to rate the likelihood of its occurrence, in line with a gambler's fallacy. The effect has conventionally been shown in procedures that measure expectancy and responding in separate blocks of trials (separate measurement) or measure both on the same trial (concurrent measurement). Here we directly compared the trends produced in separate and concurrent measurement procedures, using single response and two-choice response procedures. While the single response showed the same trends regardless of measurement style, the Perruchet dissociation disappeared when concurrent measurement was used with the choice response task. Furthermore, in the concurrent measurement versions of both tasks, those participants who produced a consistent gambler's fallacy did not show the standard effects of positive recency that underpin the Perruchet effect in response time. The results suggest that explicit expectation of events and facilitation based on recent trial history have dissociable but competing effects on response performance.
佩鲁谢效应是指对某一事件的有意识预期与该事件引发的反应强度或速度之间的分离,这是通过对连续试验的顺序分析揭示出来的。例如,在一个线索化的“执行/不执行”任务中,在一连串连续的“执行”反应过程中,参与者执行“执行”任务的速度越来越快,但当被要求对“执行”反应发生的可能性进行评分时,对“执行”反应的预期却在降低,这符合赌徒谬误。传统上,这种效应在测量预期和反应的程序中得到了体现,这些程序在不同的试验块中进行测量(单独测量),或者在同一试验中同时测量这两者(同时测量)。在这里,我们使用单反应和二选一反应程序,直接比较了单独测量和同时测量程序中产生的趋势。虽然单反应无论测量方式如何都呈现相同的趋势,但当在选择反应任务中使用同时测量时,佩鲁谢分离消失了。此外,在这两个任务的同时测量版本中,那些产生一致赌徒谬误的参与者并没有表现出支持反应时间上佩鲁谢效应的正向近因效应的标准效果。结果表明,对事件的明确预期和基于近期试验历史的促进作用对反应表现具有可分离但相互竞争的影响。