OBJECTIVE

To evaluate if quantitative joint space width (JSW) measurements from radiographs correlate with 4-year Knee injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Scores (KOOS) and clinical performance measures.

METHOD

The study group consisted of 942 patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA). 4-year outcomes for six measures (KOOS Pain, Symptom, Quality of Life, and Function scores, 20-m walk pace, and chair stand time) were used to create six multiple linear regression models. Primary predictors were baseline minimum JSW and 4-year change in JSW measured from fixed flexion radiographs. Age, gender, body mass index (BMI), race, knee alignment, and baseline measures of the outcomes of interest were covariates.

RESULTS

Lower baseline minimum JSW and a greater decrease in 4-year JSW significantly correlated with worse 4-year KOOS Pain, Symptom, and Quality of Life. With all other factors constant, a 4.1, 4.8, and 5.6 mm lower baseline JSW correlated with a clinically significant eight-point drop in 4-year KOOS Pain, Symptom, and Quality of Life scores respectively. Additionally, a 3.5, 3.1, and 4.0 mm loss of JSW over 4 years correlated with a clinically significant eight-point drop in 4-year KOOS Pain, Symptom, and Quality of Life scores respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate quantitative radiographic JSW measurements correlate with 4-year clinical outcomes. Since patients with narrower JSW at the onset of study had lower KOOS scores at 4 years even after controlling for 4-year change in JSW and baseline KOOS scores, clinical outcomes in knee OA may be predetermined once the disease process begins. These findings suggest early treatment with disease modifying therapies may be necessary to influence outcomes.