Fenner School of Environment and Society, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia; Invasive Animals Cooperative Research Centre, University of Canberra, ACT 2617, Australia.
J Environ Manage. 2013 Nov 15;129:398-409. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.08.005. Epub 2013 Aug 29.
Research indicates that invasion is a multi-step process, where each stage is contingent on the stage that precedes it. Numerous hypotheses addressing the factors that influence each stage of the invasion process have been formulated, but how well does this theory match what occurs in the natural world? We created a general conceptual model for the invasion process based on invasion theory. Using a composite 41-year data set, we then reconstructed the invasion sequence of the common myna (Acridotheres tristis) to investigate the similarities between invasion theory and this observed invasion. We observed a lag period before population growth of 2.7 (±0.3) years, a maximum rate of population growth of 24.1 (±6.4) birds per km(2) per year, a lag period before spreading of six years and an average spreading rate of 0.4 km per year. The length and duration of these stages correspond closely with what invasion process theory would anticipate. We suggest that a conceptual model, coupled with basic species, environment and event information, could be a useful tool to enhance the understanding and management of invasions.
研究表明,入侵是一个多步骤的过程,每个阶段都依赖于前一个阶段。已经提出了许多关于影响入侵过程各个阶段的因素的假设,但这个理论与自然界中发生的情况有多吻合呢?我们根据入侵理论创建了一个入侵过程的通用概念模型。然后,我们使用一个综合的 41 年数据集,重建了普通八哥(Acridotheres tristis)的入侵序列,以调查入侵理论与观察到的入侵之间的相似性。我们观察到种群增长前有 2.7(±0.3)年的潜伏期,种群增长率最大值为每年每平方公里 24.1(±6.4)只,扩散前有 6 年的潜伏期,平均扩散速度为每年 0.4 公里。这些阶段的长度和持续时间与入侵过程理论所预期的非常吻合。我们建议,概念模型结合基本的物种、环境和事件信息,可能是增强对入侵理解和管理的有用工具。