Flood Louise, Scheil Wendy, Nguyen Anh-Minh, Sage Leonie, Scott Joan
Pregnancy Outcome Unit, Epidemiology Branch, South Australian Department for Health and Ageing, Adelaide, South Australia .
Western Pac Surveill Response J. 2013 Jun 30;4(2):30-9. doi: 10.5365/WPSAR.2012.3.3.006. eCollection 2013 Apr-Jun.
In South Australia, reporting of live births, stillbirths of at least 20 weeks or 400 g birth weight, termination of pregnancies and congenital anomalies is mandated. We describe the investigation of an increase in notifications of neural tube defects (NTDs) in South Australia in 2009 and 2010 using data from several surveillance systems.
NTD trend data from 1966 to 2010 were reviewed. Comparisons of pregnancies affected by an NTD in 2009 and 2010 were made with pregnancies affected by an NTD in the period 2003-2008 and with all pregnancies in 2009 and 2010. Statistical analysis was undertaken using Poisson regression, χ(2) or Fisher's exact tests.
The prevalence of NTD-affected pregnancies was 1.95 per 1000 births (39 cases) in 2010 and 1.91 per 1000 births in 2009 (38 cases), the highest annual rates since 1991. Case series comparisons indicated women with NTD-affected pregnancies in 2009 and 2010 were less likely to be Caucasian compared with women who had NTD-affected pregnancies in the period 2003-2008. Women born in the Middle East and African region (n = 7) were significantly more likely to have NTD-affected pregnancies in the years 2009 and 2010 (relative risk: 3.03; 95% confidence interval: 1.39-6.62) compared with women born in the Oceania region.
The increased notifications of NTDs can only be partially explained by the increase in numbers of women from the Middle East and African region, with no other contributory causes revealed. This analysis highlighted areas where prevention efforts should be strengthened and surveillance data improved.
在南澳大利亚州,法律规定须上报活产、妊娠至少20周或出生体重至少400克的死产、终止妊娠及先天性异常情况。我们利用多个监测系统的数据,描述了对2009年和2010年南澳大利亚州神经管缺陷(NTDs)上报数量增加情况的调查。
回顾了1966年至2010年的NTDs趋势数据。将2009年和2010年受NTD影响的妊娠与2003 - 2008年受NTD影响的妊娠以及2009年和2010年的所有妊娠进行比较。采用泊松回归、χ²检验或费舍尔精确检验进行统计分析。
2010年受NTD影响的妊娠患病率为每1000例出生中有1.95例(39例),2009年为每1000例出生中有1.91例(38例),是1991年以来的最高年发病率。病例系列比较表明,与2003 - 2008年受NTD影响妊娠的女性相比,2009年和2010年受NTD影响妊娠的女性为白种人的可能性较小。与出生在大洋洲地区的女性相比,出生在中东和非洲地区的女性(n = 7)在2009年和2010年受NTD影响妊娠的可能性显著更高(相对风险:3.03;95%置信区间:1.39 - 6.62)。
NTDs上报数量的增加只能部分归因于中东和非洲地区女性数量的增加,未发现其他促成因素。该分析突出了应加强预防措施及改进监测数据的领域。