Research Center for Humanities and Social Sciences, Academia Sinica, 128 Academia Road, Section 2, 115 Nankang, Taipei, Taiwan.
Int J Health Geogr. 2013 Sep 25;12:42. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-12-42.
The purpose of this paper is to integrate a multi-objective integer programming formulation and geographic information system (GIS) into dynamically planning the insecticide spraying area for preventing the transmission of dengue fever.
The optimal spraying area to combat dengue infections is calculated by the multi-objective integer programming model using the dengue epidemic in 2007 in Tainan City of southern Taiwan and is compared with the areas actually sprayed by the local health department. The dynamic epidemic indicators (i.e. frequency, intensity and duration) that identify major temporal characteristics of the dynamic process of an epidemic are all incorporated into the model.
The results indicate that the model can design the spraying area effectively when the trade-off between the coverage of dengue epidemics risk and area compactness is considered.
The model provides an alternative way to obtain a cost-effective spraying area in controlling future dengue epidemics. The proposed model in this study will be beneficial for strategically allocating dengue control resources.
本文旨在将多目标整数规划模型与地理信息系统(GIS)整合,以动态规划预防登革热传播的杀虫剂喷洒区域。
利用台湾南部台南市 2007 年的登革热疫情,通过多目标整数规划模型计算出防治登革热感染的最佳喷洒区域,并与当地卫生部门实际喷洒的区域进行比较。模型中还纳入了识别疫情动态过程主要时间特征的动态疫情指标(即频率、强度和持续时间)。
结果表明,当考虑到登革热疫情风险覆盖范围和区域紧凑性之间的权衡时,该模型可以有效地设计喷洒区域。
该模型为控制未来登革热疫情提供了一种具有成本效益的喷洒区域的替代方法。本研究中提出的模型将有利于战略性地分配登革热控制资源。