School of Psychology, University of New South Wales.
Black Dog Institute.
Psychol Methods. 2014 Jun;19(2):265-80. doi: 10.1037/a0033806. Epub 2013 Sep 30.
Multivariate experiments are often analyzed by multistage multiple-comparison procedures (MCPs) that prohibit univariate testing on individual dependent variables if an overall multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) test fails to reject the relevant overall null hypothesis. Although the sole function of the MANOVA test in such analyses is to control the overall Type I error rate, it is known that the most popular MANOVA-protected MCPs do not control the maximum familywise error rate (MFWER). In this article, we show that the MFWER associated with standard MANOVA-protected MCPs can be so large that the protection provided by the initial MANOVA test is illusory. We show that the MFWER can be controlled nonconservatively with modified protected MCPs and with single-stage MCPs that allow for the construction of simultaneous confidence intervals on effect sizes. We argue that, given the ease with which these MCPs can be implemented, there is no justification for continued use of the standard procedures.
多元实验通常通过多阶段多重比较程序(MCP)进行分析,如果方差分析(MANOVA)检验未能拒绝相关的总体零假设,则禁止对个别因变量进行单变量检验。尽管在这种分析中,MANOVA 检验的唯一功能是控制总体 I 型错误率,但众所周知,最受欢迎的 MANOVA 保护的 MCP 并不能控制最大组误报率(MFWER)。在本文中,我们表明与标准 MANOVA 保护的 MCP 相关的 MFWER 可能会非常大,以至于初始 MANOVA 检验提供的保护是虚幻的。我们表明,可以通过修改后的保护 MCP 和允许构建效应大小的同时置信区间的单阶段 MCP 来非保守地控制 MFWER。我们认为,鉴于这些 MCP 易于实施,没有理由继续使用标准程序。