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管理式医疗环境中腹膜透析患者腹膜炎、住院天数和技术存活的预测因素。

Predictors of peritonitis, hospital days, and technique survival for peritoneal dialysis patients in a managed care setting.

作者信息

Kumar Victoria A, Sidell Margo A, Yang Wan-Ting, Jones Jason P

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine,1 Division of Nephrology, Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Los Angeles, and Research and Evaluation,2 Southern California Permanente Medical Group, Pasadena, California, USA.

出版信息

Perit Dial Int. 2014 Mar-Apr;34(2):171-8. doi: 10.3747/pdi.2012.00165. Epub 2013 Oct 1.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Many clinicians perceive that peritoneal dialysis (PD) should be reserved for younger, healthier, more affluent patients. Our aim was to examine outcomes for PD patients in a managed care setting and to identify predictors of adverse outcomes.

METHODS

We identified all patients who initiated PD at our institution between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2010. Predictor variables studied included age, sex, race, PD modality, cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), dialysis vintage, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, education, and income level. Poisson models were used to determine the relative risk (RR) of peritonitis and the number of hospital days per patient-year. The log-rank test was used to compare technique survival by patient strata.

RESULTS

Among the 1378 patients who met the inclusion criteria, only female sex [RR: 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.74 to 0.98; p = 0.02] and higher education (RR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.60 to 0.98; p = 0.04) were associated with peritonitis. For hospital days, dialysis vintage (RR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.18; p = 0.002), CCI score (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.20; p = 0.002), and cause of ESRD (RR for glomerulonephritis: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.43 to 0.80; p = 0.0006; and RR for hypertension: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.55 to 0.88; p = 0.002) were associated with 1 extra hospital day per patient-year. The 2-year technique survival was 61% for patients who experienced at least 1 episode of peritonitis and 72% for those experiencing no peritonitis (p = 0.0001). Baseline patient age, primary cause of ESRD, and PD modality were the only other variables associated with technique survival in the study.

CONCLUSIONS

Neither race nor socio-economic status predicted technique survival or hospital days in our study. Female sex and higher education were the only two variables studied that had an association with peritonitis.

摘要

引言

许多临床医生认为腹膜透析(PD)应仅用于更年轻、更健康、更富裕的患者。我们的目的是研究在管理式医疗环境中PD患者的治疗结果,并确定不良结果的预测因素。

方法

我们确定了2001年1月1日至2010年12月31日期间在我们机构开始进行PD治疗的所有患者。研究的预测变量包括年龄、性别、种族、PD治疗方式、终末期肾病(ESRD)的病因、透析时间、查尔森合并症指数(CCI)评分、教育程度和收入水平。采用泊松模型确定腹膜炎的相对风险(RR)以及每位患者每年的住院天数。采用对数秩检验比较不同患者分层的技术生存率。

结果

在符合纳入标准的1378例患者中,只有女性[RR:0.85;95%置信区间(CI):0.74至0.98;p = 0.02]和高等教育程度(RR:0.77;95%CI:0.60至0.98;p = 0.04)与腹膜炎相关。对于住院天数,透析时间(RR:1.11;95%CI:1.04至1.18;p = 0.002)、CCI评分(RR:1.06;95%CI:1.02至1.20;p = 0.002)和ESRD的病因(肾小球肾炎的RR:0.59;95%CI:0.43至0.80;p = 0.0006;高血压的RR:0.69;⑨5%CI:0.55至0.88;p = 0.002)与每位患者每年多1天的住院时间相关。经历至少1次腹膜炎发作的患者2年技术生存率为61%,未经历腹膜炎的患者为72%(p = 0.0001)。基线患者年龄、ESRD的主要病因和PD治疗方式是该研究中与技术生存率相关的仅有的其他变量。

结论

在我们的研究中,种族和社会经济地位均不能预测技术生存率或住院天数。女性和高等教育程度是所研究的仅有的两个与腹膜炎相关的变量。

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