Science Applications International Corporation, 12530 Parklawn Drive, Suite 350, Rockville, MD 20852, USA; Institute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks, USA; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Alaska Museum, USA.
J Clin Virol. 2013 Nov;58(3):568-70. doi: 10.1016/j.jcv.2013.09.004. Epub 2013 Sep 12.
We used data on age and sex for 136 laboratory confirmed human A(H7N9) cases reported as of 11 August 2013 to compare age-specific and sex-specific patterns of morbidity and mortality from the avian influenza A(H7N9) virus with those of the avian influenza A(H5N1) virus. Human A(H7N9) cases exhibit high degrees of age and sex bias: mortality is heavily biased toward males >50 years, no deaths have been reported among individuals <25 years old, and relatively few cases documented among children or adolescents. The proportion of fatal cases (PFC) for human A(H7N9) cases as of 11 August 2013 was 32%, compared to a cumulative PFC for A(H5N1) of 83% in Indonesia and 36% in Egypt. Approximately 75% of cases of all A(H7N9) cases occurred among individuals >45 years old. Morbidity and mortality from A(H7N9) are lowest among individuals between 10 and 29 years, the age group which exhibits the highest cumulative morbidity and case fatality rates from A(H5N1). Although individuals <20 years old comprise nearly 50% of all human A(H5N1) cases, only 7% of all reported A(H7N9) cases and no deaths have been reported among individuals in this age group. Only 4% of A(H7N9) cases occurred among children<5 years old, and only one case from the 10 to 20 year age group. Age- and sex-related differences in morbidity and mortality from emerging zoonotic diseases can provide insights into ecological, economic, and cultural factors that may contribute to the emergence and proliferation of novel zoonotic diseases in human populations.
我们使用截至 2013 年 8 月 11 日报告的 136 例实验室确诊人感染 H7N9 病例的年龄和性别数据,比较了人感染 H7N9 病毒与 H5N1 病毒的发病率和死亡率的年龄和性别特异性模式。人感染 H7N9 病例表现出高度的年龄和性别偏向:死亡率严重偏向 50 岁以上的男性,25 岁以下的人没有死亡报告,儿童或青少年病例相对较少。截至 2013 年 8 月 11 日,人感染 H7N9 病例的病死率(PFC)为 32%,而印度尼西亚和埃及的 H5N1 累计 PFC 分别为 83%和 36%。大约 75%的人感染 H7N9 病例发生在 45 岁以上的人群中。A(H7N9)的发病率和死亡率在 10-29 岁人群中最低,这一年龄组的 H5N1 累积发病率和病死率最高。尽管<20 岁的个体占所有 H5N1 病例的近 50%,但在这个年龄组中仅报告了 7%的所有 A(H7N9)病例,且没有死亡报告。<5 岁的儿童中只有 4%发生 A(H7N9)病例,而 10-20 岁年龄组只有 1 例。新发人畜共患疾病的发病率和死亡率的年龄和性别差异可以深入了解生态、经济和文化因素,这些因素可能导致新的人畜共患疾病在人类中出现和传播。