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英国炼焦炉工人的肺癌死亡率与多环芳烃暴露情况

Lung cancer mortality and exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in British coke oven workers.

作者信息

Miller Brian G, Doust Emma, Cherrie John W, Hurley J Fintan

机构信息

Institute of Occupational Medicine, Edinburgh, UK.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2013 Oct 16;13:962. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-962.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Workers on coke oven plants may be exposed to potentially carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), particularly during work on the ovens tops. Two cohorts, employees of National Smokeless Fuels (NSF) and the British Steel Corporation (BSC) totalling more than 6,600 British coke plant workers employed in 1967, had been followed up to mid-1987 for mortality. Previous analyses suggested an excess in lung cancer risk of around 25%, or less when compared with Social Class IV ('partly skilled').Analyses based on internal comparisons within the cohorts identified statistical associations with estimates of individual exposures, up to the start of follow-up, to benzene-soluble materials (BSM), widely used as a metric for mixtures of PAHs. Some associations were also found with times spent in certain coke ovens jobs with specific exposure scenarios, but results were not consistent across the two cohorts and limitations in the exposure estimates were noted. The present study was designed to reanalyse the existing data on lung cancer mortality, incorporating revised and improved exposure estimates to BSM and to benzo[a]pyrene (B[a]P), including increments during the follow-up and a lag for latency.

METHODS

Mean annual average concentrations of both BSM and B[a]P were estimated by analysis of variance (ANOVA) from concentration measurements at all NSF and six BSC plants, and summarised by job and plant, with a temporal trend (for the BSM only). These were combined with subjects' work histories, to produce exposure estimates in each year of follow-up, with a 10-year lag to allow for latency. Exposures to BSM and to B[a]P were sufficiently uncorrelated to permit analysis in relation to each variable separately.Lung cancer death risks during the follow-up were analysed in relation to the estimated time-dependent exposures, both continuous and grouped, using Cox regression models, with adjustment for age.

RESULTS

Changing the exposure estimates changed the estimated relative risks compared with earlier results, but the new analyses showed no significant trends with continuous measures of exposure to either BSM or B[a]P, nor with time spent on ovens tops. Analyses with grouped exposures showed mixed results. Across all BSC plants, the relative risk coefficient for working 5 or more years on ovens tops, where the exposures were highest, was 1.81, which was statistically significant. However, results for those with 0-5 years on ovens tops did not suggest a trend; the evidence for an underlying relationship was thus suggestive but not strong.

CONCLUSIONS

The new results are in line with previous findings; they show some signs consistent with an effect of coke ovens work on lung cancer risk, especially on ovens tops, but the preponderant absence of significant results, and the inconsistencies between results for NSF and BSC, highlight how little evidence there is in these data of any effect.

摘要

背景

炼焦炉厂的工人可能会接触到潜在致癌的多环芳烃(PAHs),尤其是在炉顶作业期间。两个队列,即国家无烟燃料公司(NSF)和英国钢铁公司(BSC)的员工,总计6600多名于1967年受雇的英国炼焦厂工人,一直被随访至1987年年中以了解死亡率情况。先前的分析表明,与社会阶层IV(“部分熟练工”)相比,肺癌风险高出约25%,或更低。基于队列内部比较的分析确定了与随访开始前个体接触苯溶性物质(BSM)估计值之间的统计关联,BSM被广泛用作PAHs混合物的指标。还发现某些焦炉工作中特定接触场景下的工作时间与肺癌存在一些关联,但两个队列的结果不一致,且注意到接触估计存在局限性。本研究旨在重新分析关于肺癌死亡率的现有数据,纳入对BSM和苯并[a]芘(B[a]P)的修订和改进后的接触估计值,包括随访期间的增量以及潜伏期。

方法

通过对NSF所有工厂和6个BSC工厂浓度测量值进行方差分析(ANOVA)来估计BSM和B[a]P的年均平均浓度,并按工作和工厂进行汇总,同时考虑时间趋势(仅针对BSM)。将这些与受试者的工作经历相结合,以得出随访各年的接触估计值,并设置10年的潜伏期以考虑潜伏期。对BSM和B[a]P的接触足够不相关,从而可以分别针对每个变量进行分析。使用Cox回归模型并对年龄进行调整,分析随访期间肺癌死亡风险与估计的时间依赖性接触之间的关系,接触分为连续型和分组型。

结果

与早期结果相比,改变接触估计值会改变估计的相对风险,但新的分析表明,无论是对BSM还是B[a]P的连续接触测量,以及在炉顶工作的时间,均未显示出显著趋势。分组接触分析的结果喜忧参半。在所有BSC工厂中,在炉顶工作5年或更长时间(接触量最高)的相对风险系数为1.81,具有统计学意义。然而,在炉顶工作0 - 5年者的结果未显示出趋势;因此,存在潜在关系但证据并不充分。

结论

新结果与先前的发现一致;它们显示出一些迹象,表明炼焦炉工作对肺癌风险有影响,尤其是在炉顶工作时,但主要缺乏显著结果,且NSF和BSC队列结果不一致,凸显了这些数据中几乎没有任何影响的证据。

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