School of Public Health & Zoonoses, Guru Angad Dev Veterinary and Animal Sciences University, Ludhiana, Punjab 141004, India.
Prev Vet Med. 2014 Jan 1;113(1):1-12. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2013.09.007. Epub 2013 Sep 25.
Cystic ehinococcosis (CE) caused by Echinococcus granulosus remains a neglected zoonotic disease despite its considerable human and animal health concerns. This is the first systematic analysis of the livestock and human related economic losses due to cystic echinococcosis in India. Data about human cases were obtained from a tertiary hospital. Human hydatidosis cases with and without surgical interventions were extrapolated to be 5647 and 17075 per year assuming a total human population of 1210193422 in India. Data about prevalence of hydatid cysts in important food producing animals were obtained from previously published abattoir based epidemiological surveys that reported a prevalence of 5.39% in cattle, 4.36% in buffaloes, 3.09% in pigs, 2.23% in sheep and 0.41% in goats. Animal population data were sourced from the latest census conducted by the Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying and Fisheries, India. Other input parameters were obtained from published scientific literature. Probability distributions were included for many input values to account for variability and uncertainty. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the effect of important parameters on the estimated economic losses. The analysis revealed a total annual median loss of Rs. 11.47 billion (approx. US $ 212.35 million). Cattle and buffalo industry accounted for most of the losses: 93.05% and 88.88% of the animal and total losses, respectively. Human hydatidosis related losses were estimated to be Rs. 472.72 million (approx. US $ 8.75 million) but are likely to be an under-estimate due to under-reporting of the disease in the country. The human losses more than quadrupled to Rs. 1953 million i.e. approx. US $ 36.17 million, when the prevalence of human undiagnosed cases was increased to 0.2% in the sensitivity analyses. The social loss and psychological distress were not taken into account for calculating human loss. The results highlight an urgent need for a science based policy to control and manage the disease in the country.
尽管棘球蚴病(CE)由细粒棘球绦虫引起,对人类和动物健康构成了相当大的威胁,但它仍然是一种被忽视的人畜共患疾病。这是首次对印度因囊型包虫病导致的牲畜和人类相关经济损失进行系统分析。人类病例数据来自一家三级医院。假设印度总人口为 1210193422 人,每年有手术干预和无手术干预的人类包虫病病例分别为 5647 例和 17075 例。从以前发表的基于屠宰场的流行病学调查中获得了重要的产肉动物中包虫囊肿流行率的数据,这些调查报告牛的流行率为 5.39%,水牛为 4.36%,猪为 3.09%,绵羊为 2.23%,山羊为 0.41%。动物种群数据来自印度畜牧、奶制品和渔业部进行的最新普查。其他输入参数来自已发表的科学文献。对许多输入值进行了概率分布,以考虑到变异性和不确定性。进行了敏感性分析,以评估重要参数对估计经济损失的影响。分析结果显示,每年的中位数损失为 114.7 亿卢比(约合 2.1235 亿美元)。牛和水牛产业造成的损失最大:动物和总损失分别占 93.05%和 88.88%。估计与人类包虫病相关的损失为 4.7272 亿卢比(约合 8750 万美元),但由于该国对该病的报告不足,这可能是一个低估。当人类未确诊病例的流行率在敏感性分析中增加到 0.2%时,人类损失增加了四倍多,达到 1.953 亿卢比,即约 3617 万美元。在计算人类损失时,没有考虑社会损失和心理痛苦。结果突出表明,印度迫切需要制定一项基于科学的政策来控制和管理该病。