AMIS Plus Data Center, Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Zurich, , Zurich, Switzerland.
Heart. 2014 Feb;100(4):288-94. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-304588. Epub 2013 Nov 1.
This study aimed to assess the impact of individual comorbid conditions as well as the weight assignment, predictive properties and discriminating power of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) on outcome in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
A prospective multicentre observational study (AMIS Plus Registry) from 69 Swiss hospitals with 29 620 ACS patients enrolled from 2002 to 2012. The main outcome measures were in-hospital and 1-year follow-up mortality.
Of the patients, 27% were female (age 72.1 ± 12.6 years) and 73% were male (64.2 ± 12.9 years). 46.8% had comorbidities and they were less likely to receive guideline-recommended drug therapy and reperfusion. Heart failure (adjusted OR 1.88; 95% CI 1.57 to 2.25), metastatic tumours (OR 2.25; 95% CI 1.60 to 3.19), renal diseases (OR 1.84; 95% CI 1.60 to 2.11) and diabetes (OR 1.35; 95% CI 1.19 to 1.54) were strong predictors of in-hospital mortality. In this population, CCI weighted the history of prior myocardial infarction higher (1 instead of -0.4, 95% CI -1.2 to 0.3 points) but heart failure (1 instead of 3.7, 95% CI 2.6 to 4.7) and renal disease (2 instead of 3.5, 95% CI 2.7 to 4.4) lower than the benchmark, where all comorbidities, age and gender were used as predictors. However, the model with CCI and age has an identical discrimination to this benchmark (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were both 0.76).
Comorbidities greatly influenced clinical presentation, therapies received and the outcome of patients admitted with ACS. Heart failure, diabetes, renal disease or metastatic tumours had a major impact on mortality. CCI seems to be an appropriate prognostic indicator for in-hospital and 1-year outcomes in ACS patients. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01305785.
本研究旨在评估个体合并症状况以及 Charlson 合并症指数(CCI)的权重赋值、预测特性和判别能力对急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)患者结局的影响。
这是一项来自 69 家瑞士医院的前瞻性多中心观察性研究(AMIS Plus 注册研究),2002 年至 2012 年期间共纳入 29620 例 ACS 患者。主要观察指标为院内和 1 年随访死亡率。
患者中 27%为女性(年龄 72.1 ± 12.6 岁),73%为男性(年龄 64.2 ± 12.9 岁)。46.8%的患者存在合并症,他们更不可能接受指南推荐的药物治疗和再灌注治疗。心力衰竭(校正比值比 1.88;95%CI 1.57 至 2.25)、转移性肿瘤(比值比 2.25;95%CI 1.60 至 3.19)、肾脏疾病(比值比 1.84;95%CI 1.60 至 2.11)和糖尿病(比值比 1.35;95%CI 1.19 至 1.54)是院内死亡的强预测因素。在该人群中,CCI 对既往心肌梗死病史的权重赋值更高(1 而非-0.4,95%CI-1.2 至 0.3 分),但对心力衰竭(1 而非 3.7,95%CI 2.6 至 4.7)和肾脏疾病(2 而非 3.5,95%CI 2.7 至 4.4)的权重赋值低于基准值,其中所有合并症、年龄和性别均被用作预测因素。然而,CCI 与年龄相结合的模型与该基准值具有相同的判别能力(接受者操作特征曲线下面积均为 0.76)。
合并症极大地影响了 ACS 患者的临床表现、接受的治疗和结局。心力衰竭、糖尿病、肾脏疾病或转移性肿瘤对死亡率有重大影响。CCI 似乎是 ACS 患者院内和 1 年结局的合适预后指标。临床试验注册编号:NCT01305785。