Epilepsy Program, Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences, Western University, London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada; Hospital Mãe de Deus, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil; Postgraduate Program in Medical Sciences, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.
Epilepsia. 2013 Nov;54(11):1933-41. doi: 10.1111/epi.12389.
Seizure recurrence after epilepsy surgery has been classified as either early or late depending on the recurrence time after operation. However, time of recurrence is variable and has been arbitrarily defined in the literature. We established a mathematical model for discriminating patients with early or late seizure recurrence, and examined differences between these two groups.
A historical cohort of 247 consecutive patients treated surgically for temporal lobe epilepsy was identified. In patients who recurred, postoperative time until seizure recurrence was examined using an receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve to determine the best cutoff for predicting long-term prognosis, dividing patients in those with early and those with late seizure recurrence. We then compared the groups in terms of a number of clinical, electrophysiologic, and radiologic variables.
Seizures recurred in 107 patients (48.9%). The ROC curve demonstrated that 6 months was the ideal time for predicting long-term surgical outcome with best accuracy, (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.761; sensitivity = 78.8%; specificity = 72.1%). We observed that patients with seizure recurrence during the first 6 months started having seizures at younger age (odds ratio [OR] = 6.03; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-11.01; p = 0.018), had a worse outcome (OR = 6.85; 95% CI = 2.54-18.52; p = 0.001), needed a higher number of antiepileptic medications (OR = 2.07; 95% CI = 1.16-9.34; p = 0.013), and more frequently had repeat surgery (OR = 9.59; 95% CI = 1.18-77.88; p = 0.021). Patients with late relapse more frequently had seizures associated with trigger events (OR = 9.61; 95% CI = 3.52-26.31; p < 0.01).
Patients with early or late recurrence of seizures have different characteristics that might reflect diversity in the epileptogenic zone and epileptogenicity itself. These disparities might help explain variable patterns of seizure recurrence after epilepsy surgery.
癫痫手术后的癫痫发作复发可分为早期或晚期,这取决于术后复发的时间。然而,复发时间是可变的,并且在文献中已被任意定义。我们建立了一个用于区分早期或晚期癫痫发作复发患者的数学模型,并检查了这两组之间的差异。
确定了 247 例连续接受颞叶癫痫手术治疗的患者的历史队列。在复发的患者中,使用接收者操作特征(ROC)曲线检查术后至癫痫复发的时间,以确定预测长期预后的最佳截止值,将患者分为早期和晚期癫痫发作复发的患者。然后,我们比较了两组的多项临床、电生理和影像学变量。
107 例患者(48.9%)出现癫痫发作。ROC 曲线表明,6 个月是预测长期手术结果的最佳时间,具有最佳准确性(曲线下面积 [AUC] = 0.761;灵敏度 = 78.8%;特异性 = 72.1%)。我们观察到,在最初 6 个月内发作复发的患者,发病年龄更小(优势比 [OR] = 6.03;95%置信区间 [CI] = 1.06-11.01;p = 0.018),结局更差(OR = 6.85;95% CI = 2.54-18.52;p = 0.001),需要更多的抗癫痫药物(OR = 2.07;95% CI = 1.16-9.34;p = 0.013),且更频繁地进行重复手术(OR = 9.59;95% CI = 1.18-77.88;p = 0.021)。晚期复发的患者更频繁地出现与触发事件相关的癫痫发作(OR = 9.61;95% CI = 3.52-26.31;p < 0.01)。
早期或晚期癫痫发作复发的患者具有不同的特征,这可能反映了致痫区和致痫性本身的多样性。这些差异可能有助于解释癫痫手术后癫痫发作复发的不同模式。