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运用元胞自动机对社会-环境系统进行综合建模。

Using cellular automata for integrated modelling of socio-environmental systems.

机构信息

RIKS Research Institute for Knowledge Systems, P.O. Box 463, 6200 AL, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 1995 Jan;34(2):203-14. doi: 10.1007/BF00546036.

Abstract

Cellular automata provide the key to a dynamic modelling and simulation framework that integrates socio-economic with environmental models, and that operates at both micro and macro geographical scales. An application to the problem of forecasting the effect of climate change on a small island state suggests that such modelling techniques could help planners and policy makers design more effective policies - policies better tuned both to specific local needs and to overall socio-economic and environmental constraints.

摘要

元胞自动机为动态建模和模拟框架提供了关键技术,该框架将社会经济与环境模型集成在一起,并在微观和宏观地理尺度上运行。将这些建模技术应用于预测气候变化对小岛国家的影响的问题表明,此类建模技术可以帮助规划者和决策者设计更有效的政策——这些政策既能更好地满足特定的本地需求,又能适应整体社会经济和环境的限制。

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