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2000-2011 年丹麦前列腺癌患者的合并症和生存情况:一项基于人群的队列研究。

Comorbidity and survival of Danish prostate cancer patients from 2000-2011: a population-based cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.

出版信息

Clin Epidemiol. 2013 Nov 1;5(Suppl 1):47-55. doi: 10.2147/CLEP.S47153. eCollection 2013.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We investigated temporal changes in overall survival among prostate cancer (PC) patients and the impact of comorbidity on all-cause mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based cohort study in the Central Denmark Region (1.2 million inhabitants). Using medical registries, we identified 7,654 PC patients with first-time PC diagnosis within the period 2000-2011 and their corresponding comorbidities within 10 years prior to the PC diagnosis. We estimated 1- and 5-year survival in four consecutive calendar periods using a hybrid analysis and plotted Kaplan-Meier survival curves. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to compute 1- and 5-year age-adjusted mortality rate ratios (MRRs) for different comorbidity levels. All estimates are reported with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

The annual number of PC cases doubled over the 12-year study period. Men aged <70 years accounted for the largest proportional increase (from 33% to 47%). The proportion of patients within each comorbidity category remained constant over time. One-year survival increased from 82% (CI: 80%-84%) in 2000-2002 to 92% (CI: 90%-93%) in 2009-2011, while 5-year survival increased from 43% (CI: 40%-46%) to 65% (CI: 62%-67%) during the same time intervals. Improvements in 5-year survival were most prominent among patients aged <80 years and among those with no comorbidity (from 51% to 73%) and medium comorbidity (from 32% to 54%). Improvements in survival were much smaller for those with high comorbidity (from 33% to 39%). The 1-year age-adjusted MRR for patients with high comorbidity (relative to patients with no comorbidity) increased over time from 1.84 (CI: 1.19-2.84) to 3.67 (CI: 2.49-5.41), while the 5-year age-adjusted MRR increased from 1.73 (CI: 1.34-2.23) to 2.38 (CI: 1.93-2.94).

CONCLUSION

Overall survival of PC improved substantially during 2000-2011, although primarily among men with low comorbidity. All-cause mortality was highest among PC patients with high comorbidity, and their relative 1- and 5-year mortality increased over time compared to those without comorbidity.

摘要

目的

我们研究了前列腺癌(PC)患者总生存率的时间变化,并探讨了合并症对全因死亡率的影响。

方法

我们在丹麦中部地区(120 万居民)进行了一项基于人群的队列研究。利用医疗登记处,我们确定了 2000 年至 2011 年期间首次确诊为 PC 的 7654 名 PC 患者及其在 PC 诊断前 10 年内的相应合并症。我们使用混合分析方法估计了四个连续日历期间的 1 年和 5 年生存率,并绘制了 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线。我们使用 Cox 比例风险回归计算了不同合并症水平的 1 年和 5 年年龄调整死亡率率比(MRR)。所有估计值均附有相应的 95%置信区间(CI)。

结果

在 12 年的研究期间,PC 病例的年发病率翻了一番。<70 岁的男性比例增加最大(从 33%增加到 47%)。每个合并症类别的患者比例在整个研究期间保持不变。1 年生存率从 2000-2002 年的 82%(CI:80%-84%)增加到 2009-2011 年的 92%(CI:90%-93%),而 5 年生存率从 43%(CI:40%-46%)增加到同一时间段内的 65%(CI:62%-67%)。<80 岁和无合并症(从 51%增加到 73%)以及中等合并症(从 32%增加到 54%)患者的 5 年生存率改善最为显著。合并症较高的患者(从 33%增加到 39%)的生存率改善较小。1 年时患有高度合并症(相对于无合并症)的患者的年龄调整 MRR 随着时间的推移从 1.84(CI:1.19-2.84)增加到 3.67(CI:2.49-5.41),而 5 年时的年龄调整 MRR 从 1.73(CI:1.34-2.23)增加到 2.38(CI:1.93-2.94)。

结论

2000-2011 年间,PC 的总体生存率有了显著提高,尽管主要是在低合并症的男性中。全因死亡率最高的是合并症较高的 PC 患者,与无合并症的患者相比,其 1 年和 5 年死亡率相对增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fce0/3820473/16be81f14c86/clep-5-047Fig1.jpg

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