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与肌萎缩侧索硬化症相关的气候因素:来自台湾的空间分析。

Climatic factors associated with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a spatial analysis from Taiwan.

作者信息

Tsai Ching-Piao, Tzu-Chi Lee Charles

出版信息

Geospat Health. 2013 Nov;8(1):45-52. doi: 10.4081/gh.2013.53.

Abstract

Few studies have assessed the spatial association of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) incidence in the world. The aim of this study was to identify the association of climatic factors and ALS incidence in Taiwan. A total of 1,434 subjects with the primary diagnosis of ALS between years 1997 and 2008 were identified in the national health insurance research database. The diagnosis was also verified by the national health insurance programme, which had issued and providing them with "serious disabling disease (SDD) certificates". Local indicators of spatial association were employed to investigate spatial clustering of age-standardised incidence ratios in the townships of the study area. Spatial regression was utilised to reveal any association of annual average climatic factors and ALS incidence for the 12-year study period. The climatic factors included the annual average time of sunlight exposure, average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, atmospheric pressure, rainfall, relative humidity and wind speed with spatial autocorrelation controlled. Significant correlations were only found for exposure to sunlight and rainfall and it was similar in both genders. The annual average of the former was found to be negatively correlated with ALS, while the latter was positively correlated with ALS incidence. While accepting that ALS is most probably multifactorial, it was concluded that sunlight deprivation and/or rainfall are associated to some degree with ALS incidence in Taiwan.

摘要

世界上很少有研究评估肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)发病率的空间关联。本研究的目的是确定台湾地区气候因素与ALS发病率之间的关联。在国民健康保险研究数据库中,共识别出1997年至2008年间初次诊断为ALS的1434名受试者。诊断结果也得到了国民健康保险计划的核实,该计划已向他们颁发并提供了“严重致残疾病(SDD)证书”。采用局部空间关联指标来研究研究区域乡镇中年龄标准化发病率的空间聚集情况。利用空间回归来揭示12年研究期内年平均气候因素与ALS发病率之间的任何关联。气候因素包括年平均日照时间、平均温度、最高温度、最低温度、气压、降雨量、相对湿度和风速,并控制了空间自相关。仅发现日照和降雨存在显著相关性,且在两性中情况相似。发现前者的年平均值与ALS呈负相关,而后者与ALS发病率呈正相关。虽然承认ALS很可能是多因素导致的,但得出的结论是,台湾地区日照不足和/或降雨在一定程度上与ALS发病率相关。

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