Borchers A, Wilkins P A, Marsh P M, Axon J E, Read J, Castagnetti C, Pantaleon L, Clark C, Qura'n L, Belgrave R, Schwarzwald C, Levy M, Bedenice D, Saulez M N, Boston R C
University of Pennsylvania, USA; University of California, USA.
Equine Vet J Suppl. 2013 Dec(45):2-7. doi: 10.1111/evj.12165.
Evaluation of serial blood lactate concentrations [LAC] are of prognostic value for morbidity and mortality in critically ill human patients and neonatal foals, but have not been prospectively evaluated in a large multicentre study of critically ill neonatal foals.
To prospectively evaluate the prognostic value of sequential [LAC] analysis in critically ill neonatal foals with risk of mortality.
Prospective, observational study.
Thirteen university and private equine referral hospitals enrolled 643 foals over the 2008 foaling season and [LAC] was measured at admission ([LAC]ADMIT ) and 24 ([LAC]24 ), 48 ([LAC]48 ), 72 ([LAC]72 ), 96 ([LAC]96 ) and 120 h ([LAC]120 ) after admission. [LAC] changes over time ([LAC]Δ) were calculated between sampling points.
Nonsurvivors had significantly greater [LAC]ADMIT , [LAC]24 and [LAC]48 compared with surviving foals (P<0.001). In nonsurviving foals [LAC]Δ did not decrease over time while survivors showed significant positive [LAC]Δ between [LAC]ADM -24 and all other time periods (P<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that the odds of survival decreased for each 1 mmol/l [LAC] increase at all time points for all critically ill foals, independent of major final diagnoses as potential confounders. Septic foals had significantly greater [LAC] at all time points compared with nonseptic foals (P<0.001) and [LAC]Δ in septic foals was significantly more positive (suggesting better clearance of lactate from the blood) only at [LAC]ADM -24 and [LAC]72-96 (P<0.01), while in nonseptic foals [LAC]Δ was significantly positive between [LAC]ADM -24 compared with all other time periods (P<0.001).
Blood lactate concentration is a strong, independent biomarker used to predict mortality in critically ill foals. Lactate metabolism is impaired in nonsurviving and septic foals and [LAC]Δ can be utilised to identify patients at high risk for mortality.
评估连续血乳酸浓度[LAC]对危重症成年患者和新生马驹的发病率及死亡率具有预后价值,但尚未在一项针对危重症新生马驹的大型多中心研究中进行前瞻性评估。
前瞻性评估序贯[LAC]分析对有死亡风险的危重症新生马驹的预后价值。
前瞻性观察性研究。
13所大学和私立马科转诊医院在2008年产驹季节纳入了643匹驹,并在入院时([LAC]入院)以及入院后24小时([LAC]24)、48小时([LAC]48)、72小时([LAC]72)、96小时([LAC]96)和120小时([LAC]120)测量[LAC]。计算各采样点之间[LAC]随时间的变化([LAC]Δ)。
与存活驹相比,非存活驹的[LAC]入院、[LAC]24和[LAC]48显著更高(P<0.001)。在非存活驹中,[LAC]Δ并未随时间下降,而存活驹在[LAC]入院至24小时与所有其他时间段之间显示出显著的正向[LAC]Δ(P<0.001)。逻辑回归分析表明,对于所有危重症驹,在所有时间点,每增加1 mmol/L[LAC],存活几率都会降低,与作为潜在混杂因素的主要最终诊断无关。与非脓毒症驹相比,脓毒症驹在所有时间点的[LAC]均显著更高(P<0.001),且仅在[LAC]入院至24小时以及[LAC]72至96小时,脓毒症驹的[LAC]Δ显著更正向(表明从血液中清除乳酸的能力更好)(P<0.01),而在非脓毒症驹中,[LAC]入院至24小时与所有其他时间段之间的[LAC]Δ显著为正(P<0.001)。
血乳酸浓度是用于预测危重症驹死亡率的一个强大的独立生物标志物。非存活驹和脓毒症驹存在乳酸代谢受损情况,[LAC]Δ可用于识别死亡风险高的患者。