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黄饼的未来:全球铀资源和采矿评估。

The future of Yellowcake: a global assessment of uranium resources and mining.

机构信息

Environmental Engineering, Dept of Civil Eng, Monash University, Wellington Rd, Clayton, VIC 3800 Australia.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2014 Feb 15;472:590-607. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.11.070. Epub 2013 Dec 6.

Abstract

Uranium (U) mining remains controversial in many parts of the world, especially in a post-Fukushima context, and often in areas with significant U resources. Although nuclear proponents point to the relatively low carbon intensity of nuclear power compared to fossil fuels, opponents argue that this will be eroded in the future as ore grades decline and energy and greenhouse gas emissions (GGEs) intensity increases as a result. Invariably both sides fail to make use of the increasingly available data reported by some U mines through sustainability reporting - allowing a comprehensive assessment of recent trends in the energy and GGE intensity of U production, as well as combining this with reported mineral resources to allow more comprehensive modelling of future energy and GGEs intensity. In this study, detailed data sets are compiled on reported U resources by deposit type, as well as mine production, energy and GGE intensity. Some important aspects included are the relationship between ore grade, deposit type and recovery, which are crucial in future projections of U mining. Overall, the paper demonstrates that there are extensive U resources known to meet potential short to medium term demand, although the future of U mining remains uncertain due to the doubt about the future of nuclear power as well as a range of complex social, environmental, economic and some site-specific technical issues.

摘要

铀(U)矿开采在世界上许多地区仍然存在争议,尤其是在后福岛时代,而且往往在铀资源丰富的地区。尽管核支持者指出与化石燃料相比,核能的碳强度相对较低,但反对者认为,随着矿石品位下降以及能源和温室气体排放(GGE)强度因之增加,这种情况在未来将会被侵蚀。双方都不可避免地没有利用一些铀矿通过可持续性报告所报告的越来越多的可用数据——从而可以对铀生产的能源和 GGE 强度的近期趋势进行全面评估,并将其与报告的矿产资源相结合,从而可以对未来的能源和 GGE 强度进行更全面的建模。在这项研究中,详细编制了按矿床类型和矿山生产、能源和 GGE 强度报告的 U 资源数据集。所包括的一些重要方面是矿石品位、矿床类型和回收率之间的关系,这在未来铀矿开采的预测中至关重要。总体而言,本文表明,有大量已知的 U 资源足以满足短期到中期的潜在需求,但由于对核能的未来以及一系列复杂的社会、环境、经济和一些特定于地点的技术问题存在怀疑,铀矿开采的未来仍不确定。

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