Melo Oscar O, Mateu Jorge, Melo Carlos E
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Sciences, National University of Colombia, Bogotá, Colombia
Department of Mathematics, University Jaume I, Castellon, Spain.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2016 Oct;25(5):2138-2160. doi: 10.1177/0962280213515792. Epub 2013 Dec 24.
Risk models derived from environmental data have been widely shown to be effective in delineating geographical areas of risk because they are intuitively easy to understand. We present a new method based on distances, which allows the modelling of continuous and non-continuous random variables through distance-based spatial generalised linear mixed models. The parameters are estimated using Markov chain Monte Carlo maximum likelihood, which is a feasible and a useful technique. The proposed method depends on a detrending step built from continuous or categorical explanatory variables, or a mixture among them, by using an appropriate Euclidean distance. The method is illustrated through the analysis of the variation in the prevalence of Loa loa among a sample of village residents in Cameroon, where the explanatory variables included elevation, together with maximum normalised-difference vegetation index and the standard deviation of normalised-difference vegetation index calculated from repeated satellite scans over time.
源自环境数据的风险模型已被广泛证明在划定风险地理区域方面是有效的,因为它们直观易懂。我们提出了一种基于距离的新方法,该方法允许通过基于距离的空间广义线性混合模型对连续和非连续随机变量进行建模。使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗最大似然估计参数,这是一种可行且有用的技术。所提出的方法依赖于一个去趋势步骤,该步骤通过使用适当的欧几里得距离,由连续或分类解释变量或它们之间的混合构建而成。通过对喀麦隆一个村庄居民样本中罗阿丝虫病患病率的变化进行分析来说明该方法,其中解释变量包括海拔,以及随时间重复卫星扫描计算得出的最大归一化差异植被指数和归一化差异植被指数的标准差。