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人们“买”下所“卖”的东西了吗?对一项关于预期寿命增加的条件价值评估调查信息集的定性评估。

Did people "buy" what was "sold"? A qualitative evaluation of a contingent valuation survey information set for gains in life expectancy.

作者信息

Baker R, Bartczak A, Chilton S, Metcalf H

机构信息

Yunus Centre for Social Business and Health, Glasgow Caledonian University, Cowcaddens Road, Glasgow G4 OBA, UK.

Warsaw Ecological Economics Center, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, ul. Dluga 44/50, 00-241 Warszawa, Poland.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2014 Jan 15;133:94-103. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2013.11.043. Epub 2013 Dec 25.

Abstract

A number of stated preferences studies have estimated a monetary value for the gains in life expectancy resulting from pollution control, using a Value of a Life Year (VOLY) approach. However, life expectancy gains are a complex concept and no attempt has been made, to date, to investigate peoples' understanding of what it is they are being asked to value. Past practice has been to focus on the outcome of a policy i.e. a gain to the average person of X months', providing no details on how the individual receives, or experiences this gain, a potentially important attribute to value. This paper sets up and reports the results from a structured debriefing exercise to qualitatively investigate an alternative approach which explicitly emphasises how this gain is delivered (on-going reductions in the risk of death). We find that, for the majority of respondents, the approach is effective in communicating the on-going nature of the gain and reduces or eliminates the use of the (incorrect) heuristic that it is an 'add-on' at the end of life, in poor health. Further refinements are required, however, to communicate the cumulative nature of these risk reductions and the lack of impact on quality of life. The lesson for stated preference studies in general is that structured debriefings can be very useful, highlighting such issues as the persistence of ill-defined attributes and the difficulties that respondents may encounter setting aside their preferences over attributes of the good that should not be included in the valuation.

摘要

一些陈述偏好研究使用生命年价值(VOLY)方法估算了污染控制带来的预期寿命增加的货币价值。然而,预期寿命的增加是一个复杂的概念,迄今为止,尚未有人尝试调查人们对他们被要求估值的内容的理解。过去的做法一直是关注政策的结果,即普通人X个月的收益,而没有详细说明个人如何获得或体验这种收益,而这可能是估值的一个重要属性。本文开展并报告了一项结构化汇报练习的结果,以定性研究一种明确强调这种收益如何实现(持续降低死亡风险)的替代方法。我们发现,对于大多数受访者来说,这种方法有效地传达了收益的持续性,并减少或消除了(错误的)启发式观念,即认为这是在生命末期健康状况不佳时的一种“附加物”。然而,还需要进一步完善,以传达这些风险降低的累积性质以及对生活质量缺乏影响。总体而言,陈述偏好研究的教训是,结构化汇报可能非常有用,它能突出诸如属性定义不明确的持续性以及受访者在抛开对不应纳入估值的商品属性的偏好时可能遇到的困难等问题。

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