Zappa Marco, Puliti Donella, Hugosson Jonas, Schröder Fritz H, van Leeuwen Pim J, Kranse Ries, Auvinen Anssi, Carlsson Sigrid, Kwiatkowski Maciej, Nelen Vera, Paez Borda Alvaro, Roobol Monique J, Villers Arnauld
Clinical and Descriptive Epidemiology Unit, ISPO-Cancer Research and Prevention Institute, Florence, Italy.
Clinical and Descriptive Epidemiology Unit, ISPO-Cancer Research and Prevention Institute, Florence, Italy.
Eur Urol. 2014 Sep;66(3):401-3. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2013.12.055. Epub 2014 Jan 7.
The advantages and disadvantages of two different methods of analyzing the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) trial with respect to the effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening on prostate cancer (PCa) mortality (ie, disease-specific mortality analysis and excess mortality analysis) are discussed in depth. The traditional disease-specific mortality is the best end point, but it could be biased by misclassification of causes of death, and it does not take into account the possible effect of the screening process on other causes of death. Excess mortality analysis overcomes these problems, but the results could be biased if the expected mortality is not corrected for attendance status. Both methods, when applied to the ERSPC trials, demonstrate that no increase in non-PCa mortality occurred in the screening group and confirm that PSA screening decreases PCa mortality.
深入讨论了两种不同方法分析欧洲前列腺癌筛查随机研究(ERSPC)试验时,前列腺特异性抗原(PSA)筛查对前列腺癌(PCa)死亡率的影响(即疾病特异性死亡率分析和超额死亡率分析)的优缺点。传统的疾病特异性死亡率是最佳终点,但可能因死亡原因分类错误而产生偏差,且未考虑筛查过程对其他死亡原因的可能影响。超额死亡率分析克服了这些问题,但如果未根据就诊状态校正预期死亡率,结果可能会有偏差。当这两种方法应用于ERSPC试验时,均表明筛查组中非PCa死亡率没有增加,并证实PSA筛查可降低PCa死亡率。