Chaffey Gary S, Lloyd David J B, Skeldon Anne C, Kirkby Norman F
Department of Mathematics, University of Surrey, Surrey, England.
Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Surrey, Surrey, England.
PLoS One. 2014 Jan 9;9(1):e83477. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0083477. eCollection 2014.
Knowledge of how a population of cancerous cells progress through the cell cycle is vital if the population is to be treated effectively, as treatment outcome is dependent on the phase distributions of the population. Estimates on the phase distribution may be obtained experimentally however the errors present in these estimates may effect treatment efficacy and planning. If mathematical models are to be used to make accurate, quantitative predictions concerning treatments, whose efficacy is phase dependent, knowledge of the phase distribution is crucial. In this paper it is shown that two different transition rates at the G1-S checkpoint provide a good fit to a growth curve obtained experimentally. However, the different transition functions predict a different phase distribution for the population, but both lying within the bounds of experimental error. Since treatment outcome is effected by the phase distribution of the population this difference may be critical in treatment planning. Using an age-structured population balance approach the cell cycle is modelled with particular emphasis on the G1-S checkpoint. By considering the probability of cells transitioning at the G1-S checkpoint, different transition functions are obtained. A suitable finite difference scheme for the numerical simulation of the model is derived and shown to be stable. The model is then fitted using the different probability transition functions to experimental data and the effects of the different probability transition functions on the model's results are discussed.
如果要有效治疗癌细胞群体,了解该群体如何在细胞周期中进展至关重要,因为治疗结果取决于群体的阶段分布。可以通过实验获得阶段分布的估计值,然而这些估计值中存在的误差可能会影响治疗效果和治疗计划。如果要使用数学模型对疗效取决于阶段的治疗进行准确的定量预测,那么了解阶段分布至关重要。本文表明,G1-S 检查点处的两种不同转变速率能很好地拟合通过实验获得的生长曲线。然而,不同的转变函数预测出群体的不同阶段分布,但两者都在实验误差范围内。由于治疗结果受群体阶段分布的影响,这种差异在治疗计划中可能至关重要。使用年龄结构群体平衡方法对细胞周期进行建模,特别强调 G1-S 检查点。通过考虑细胞在 G1-S 检查点转变的概率,获得了不同的转变函数。推导了用于该模型数值模拟的合适有限差分格式,并证明其是稳定的。然后使用不同的概率转变函数将模型拟合到实验数据,并讨论了不同概率转变函数对模型结果的影响。