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在无症状糖尿病个体中,冠状动脉计算机断层扫描血管造影术相对于冠状动脉钙化评分对主要不良心脏事件风险预测的增量预后价值。

Incremental prognostic value of coronary computed tomographic angiography over coronary artery calcium score for risk prediction of major adverse cardiac events in asymptomatic diabetic individuals.

作者信息

Min James K, Labounty Troy M, Gomez Millie J, Achenbach Stephan, Al-Mallah Mouaz, Budoff Matthew J, Cademartiri Filippo, Callister Tracy Q, Chang Hyuk-Jae, Cheng Victor, Chinnaiyan Kavitha M, Chow Benjamin, Cury Ricardo, Delago Augustin, Dunning Allison, Feuchtner Gudrun, Hadamitzky Martin, Hausleiter Jorg, Kaufmann Philipp, Kim Yong-Jin, Leipsic Jonathon, Lin Fay Y, Maffei Erica, Raff Gilbert, Shaw Leslee J, Villines Todd C, Berman Daniel S

机构信息

Department of Radiology, Weill Cornell Medical College and The NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.

Department of Imaging, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

出版信息

Atherosclerosis. 2014 Feb;232(2):298-304. doi: 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2013.09.025. Epub 2013 Oct 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2013.09.025
PMID:24468142
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4378659/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery disease (CAD) diagnosis by coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) is useful for identification of symptomatic diabetic individuals at heightened risk for death. Whether CCTA-detected CAD enables improved risk assessment of asymptomatic diabetic individuals beyond clinical risk factors and coronary artery calcium scoring (CACS) remains unexplored.

METHODS

From a prospective 12-center international registry of 27,125 individuals undergoing CCTA, we identified 400 asymptomatic diabetic individuals without known CAD. Coronary stenosis by CCTA was graded as 0%, 1-49%, 50-69%, and ≥70%. CAD was judged on a per-patient, per-vessel and per-segment basis as maximal stenosis severity, number of vessels with ≥50% stenosis, and coronary segments weighted for stenosis severity (segment stenosis score), respectively. We assessed major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) - inclusive of mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI), and late target vessel revascularization ≥90 days (REV) - and evaluated the incremental utility of CCTA for risk prediction, discrimination and reclassification.

RESULTS

Mean age was 60.4 ± 9.9 years; 65.0% were male. At a mean follow-up 2.4 ± 1.1 years, 33 MACE occurred (13 deaths, 8 MI, 12 REV) [8.25%; annualized rate 3.4%]. By univariate analysis, per-patient maximal stenosis [hazards ratio (HR) 2.24 per stenosis grade, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.61-3.10, p < 0.001], increasing numbers of obstructive vessels (HR 2.30 per vessel, 95% CI 1.75-3.03, p < 0.001) and segment stenosis score (HR 1.14 per segment, 95% CI 1.09-1.19, p < 0.001) were associated with increased MACE. After adjustment for CAD risk factors and CACS, maximal stenosis (HR 1.80 per grade, 95% CI 1.18-2.75, p = 0.006), number of obstructive vessels (HR 1.85 per vessel, 95% CI 1.29-2.65, p < 0.001) and segment stenosis score (HR 1.11 per segment, 95% CI 1.05-1.18, p < 0.001) were associated with increased risk of MACE. Beyond age, gender and CACS (C-index 0.64), CCTA improved discrimination by maximal stenosis, number of obstructive vessels and segment stenosis score (C-index 0.77, 0.77 and 0.78, respectively). Similarly, CCTA findings improved risk reclassification by per-patient maximal stenosis [integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index 0.03, p = 0.03] and number of obstructive vessels (IDI index 0.06, p = 0.002), and by trend for segment stenosis score (IDI 0.03, p = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

For asymptomatic diabetic individuals, CCTA measures of CAD severity confer incremental risk prediction, discrimination and reclassification on a per-patient, per-vessel and per-segment basis.

摘要

背景

通过冠状动脉计算机断层血管造影(CCTA)诊断冠状动脉疾病(CAD)有助于识别有症状的糖尿病个体中死亡风险较高者。CCTA检测到的CAD是否能在临床危险因素和冠状动脉钙化评分(CACS)之外,改善无症状糖尿病个体的风险评估,目前尚不清楚。

方法

在一项对27125例接受CCTA检查的个体进行的前瞻性12中心国际登记研究中,我们识别出400例无已知CAD的无症状糖尿病个体。CCTA显示的冠状动脉狭窄程度分为0%、1%-49%、50%-69%和≥70%。CAD分别根据每位患者、每支血管和每段血管的最大狭窄严重程度、狭窄≥50%的血管数量以及根据狭窄严重程度加权的冠状动脉节段(节段狭窄评分)进行判断。我们评估了主要不良心血管事件(MACE),包括死亡、非致命性心肌梗死(MI)和≥90天的晚期靶血管血运重建(REV),并评估了CCTA在风险预测、鉴别和重新分类方面的增量效用。

结果

平均年龄为60.4±9.9岁;65.0%为男性。平均随访2.4±1.1年,发生了33例MACE(13例死亡、8例MI、12例REV)[8.25%;年化率3.4%]。单因素分析显示,每位患者的最大狭窄程度[每增加一个狭窄等级,风险比(HR)为2.24,95%置信区间(CI)为1.61-3.10,p<0.001]、阻塞性血管数量增加(每增加一支血管,HR为2.30,95%CI为1.75-3.03,p<

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