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32年后的杀人罪犯——一项基于瑞典人口的再犯研究。

Homicide offenders 32 years later - a Swedish population-based study on recidivism.

作者信息

Sturup Joakim, Lindqvist Per

机构信息

Division of Social and Forensic Psychiatry, Karolinska Institutet, Huddinge, Sweden; Department of Forensic Psychiatry in Stockholm, National Board of Forensic Medicine, Sweden.

出版信息

Crim Behav Ment Health. 2014 Feb;24(1):5-17. doi: 10.1002/cbm.1896. Epub 2013 Nov 22.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The literature on recidivism by homicide offenders is scarce despite its importance for individuals and for society.

AIMS

To establish the rate of seriously violent re-offending among homicide offenders and identify risk factors for such recidivism.

METHODS

A 1970s incident cohort of all homicide offenders, sane and insane, from two regions of Sweden (N = 153) was followed up until 2007 using data from the national crime register.

RESULTS

Ten per cent of the cohort (n = 15) re-offended. The mean time from index offence to recidivism was 9.4 years. Five people (3%) committed a further homicide, and it was established that another five (3%) offenders had killed before the index offence. Prospective risk factors for violent recidivism were young age, psychotic disorder, male victim, acquainted victim and intoxicated victim.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of repeated homicide is higher than previously reported. Victim variables and mental disorder in conjunction with substance abuse appear to be two domains of particular significance for recidivism.

摘要

背景

尽管累犯对个人和社会都很重要,但关于杀人罪犯累犯的文献却很稀少。

目的

确定杀人罪犯中严重暴力再犯的比率,并识别此类累犯的风险因素。

方法

利用国家犯罪登记处的数据,对20世纪70年代瑞典两个地区所有杀人罪犯(包括精神正常和精神错乱者,N = 153)的事件队列进行随访,直至2007年。

结果

该队列中有10%(n = 15)再次犯罪。从首次犯罪到再次犯罪的平均时间为9.4年。5人(3%)再次杀人,另外有5人(3%)在首次犯罪前就已杀人。暴力累犯的前瞻性风险因素包括年轻、精神障碍、男性受害者、熟人受害者和醉酒受害者。

结论

重复杀人的发生率高于先前报道。受害者变量以及精神障碍与药物滥用相结合,似乎是累犯的两个特别重要的领域。

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