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基于全国范围的1981年出生队列人群的犯罪与死亡率:芬兰犯罪研究结果

Crime and mortality in a population-based nationwide 1981 birth cohort: Results from the FinnCrime study.

作者信息

Elonheimo Henrik, Sillanmäki Lauri, Sourander André

机构信息

Research Centre for Child Psychiatry, Department of Child Psychiatry, University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, FI-20014, Turku, Finland.

Faculty of Law, University of Turku, FI-20014, Turku, Finland.

出版信息

Crim Behav Ment Health. 2017 Feb;27(1):15-26. doi: 10.1002/cbm.1973. Epub 2015 Aug 25.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Offending is known to be associated with various health problems and premature death, but previous studies on associations between offending and mortality have often been only with men, convicted offenders or highly selected samples. A more sensitive measure of offending may be preferable when trying to understand the extent of health disadvantages among people who offend.

AIMS

The aim of this paper was to study the associations between investigated offending, death and causes of death in a nationally representative birth cohort.

METHODS

A broad concept of offending was used such that people who had had any contact with the police because they had been suspected of crime were included. Offending data were obtained from the National Police Register for 5405 men and women born in Finland in 1981, spanning their ages 15-30 years; mortality data were received from Statistics Finland. Offending was classified into four categories by frequency: none, 1-4 different offence contacts, 5-27 and 28 or more. Causes of death were categorised into natural, accidents, suicide or homicide. Of the cohort, 2304 (43%) had offended and 57 (1.1%) had died. Associations between offending, mortality and causes of death were analysed, controlling for parental education level and family structure in childhood.

RESULTS

The mortality rate was higher among offenders than non-offenders, increasing with rising frequency of offending. The most frequent offenders were nearly 30 times more likely to have died by age 30 than non-offenders (odds ratio 28.6, confidence interval 12.1-67.5); risk was higher for female than male offenders. Death among offenders was less likely to be from natural causes.

IMPLICATIONS

A heightened risk of premature death is the ultimate form of adverse outcome for offenders. Offenders' health is likely to need more attention as part of their overall management, for recidivists in particular. In our study, offenders' only certain criminal justice contact was with the police, so it may be that the police should take a greater role in signposting them towards health services. Offender treatment is needed not only to protect potential victims but also offenders themselves. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

摘要

背景

犯罪与各种健康问题及过早死亡相关,但先前关于犯罪与死亡率之间关联的研究往往仅针对男性、已定罪的罪犯或高度特定的样本。在试图了解犯罪人群中健康劣势的程度时,采用一种更敏感的犯罪衡量指标可能更为可取。

目的

本文旨在研究在一个具有全国代表性的出生队列中,被调查的犯罪行为、死亡及死亡原因之间的关联。

方法

采用了一个宽泛的犯罪概念,将因涉嫌犯罪而与警方有过任何接触的人都纳入其中。从国家警察登记册获取了1981年出生于芬兰的5405名男性和女性在15至30岁期间的犯罪数据;死亡数据来自芬兰统计局。犯罪行为按频率分为四类:无、1 - 4次不同的犯罪接触、5 - 27次以及28次或更多。死亡原因分为自然原因、意外事故、自杀或他杀。该队列中,2304人(43%)有过犯罪行为,57人(1.1%)死亡。分析了犯罪行为、死亡率及死亡原因之间的关联,并对童年时期父母的教育水平和家庭结构进行了控制。

结果

犯罪者的死亡率高于非犯罪者,且随着犯罪频率的增加而上升。犯罪频率最高的人群在30岁时死亡的可能性几乎是非犯罪者的30倍(优势比28.6,置信区间12.1 - 67.5);女性犯罪者的风险高于男性。犯罪者的死亡不太可能是由自然原因导致。

启示

过早死亡风险增加是犯罪者不良后果的最终形式。作为犯罪者整体管理的一部分,他们的健康可能需要更多关注,特别是对于累犯。在我们的研究中,犯罪者唯一确定的刑事司法接触是与警方,所以可能警方应在引导他们获取医疗服务方面发挥更大作用。对犯罪者进行治疗不仅是为了保护潜在受害者,也是为了保护犯罪者自身。版权所有© 2015约翰·威利父子有限公司。

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