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伊拉克的乳腺癌:2000年至2009年的发病率趋势

Breast cancer in Iraq, incidence trends from 2000-2009.

作者信息

Al-Hashimi Muzahem Mohammed Yahya, Wang Xiang Jun

机构信息

School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Hubei Province, Wuhan, China E-mail :

出版信息

Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2014;15(1):281-6. doi: 10.7314/apjcp.2014.15.1.281.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is the most frequent malignancy of women worldwide. In Iraq, breast cancer ranks first among cancers diagnosed in women but no studies have been conducted on incidence trends. The present study of breast cancer in the country during 2000-2009 was therefore performed.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The registered data for breast cancer cases were collected from the Iraqi Cancer Registry/Ministry of Health. The significance of incidence rate trends during 2000-2009 was tested using Poisson regression. Age-standardized rates (ASR), and age-specific rates per 100,000 population were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 23,792 incident breast cancer cases were registered among females aged ≥15 years, represented 33.8% of all cancers in females registered during 2000-2009. It ranked first in all the years. The median age at diagnosis was 49 and the mean age was 52 years. The incidence rate of all female breast cancer in Iraq (all ages) increased from 26.6 per 100,000 in 2000 to 31.5 per 100,000 in 2009 (APC=1.14%, p<.0001). The incidence in age groups (40-49), (50-59) and (70+) increased in earlier years and has recently (2005-2009) become stable. The incidence in age group (60-69) did not decline since 2003, while the incidence rates in the age group (15-39) started to decline in 2004.

CONCLUSIONS

With the Iraqi Cancer Registry data during the period 2000-2009, the incidence of all female breast cancer in Iraq (all ages) has risen. We found rapid increase in the age specific incidence rate among age group 60-69. However, breast cancer among Iraqi women still affects younger age groups than their counterparts in developed countries. Further epidemiological research is needed to examine possible causes and prevention measures.

摘要

背景

乳腺癌是全球女性中最常见的恶性肿瘤。在伊拉克,乳腺癌在女性确诊的癌症中排名第一,但尚未对发病率趋势进行研究。因此,开展了本项关于该国2000 - 2009年乳腺癌情况的研究。

材料与方法

从伊拉克癌症登记处/卫生部收集乳腺癌病例的登记数据。使用泊松回归检验2000 - 2009年发病率趋势的显著性。计算年龄标准化率(ASR)以及每10万人口的年龄别发病率。

结果

在年龄≥15岁的女性中,共登记了23792例乳腺癌发病病例,占2000 - 2009年登记的所有女性癌症的33.8%。在所有年份中均排名第一。诊断时的中位年龄为49岁,平均年龄为52岁。伊拉克所有女性乳腺癌(各年龄段)的发病率从2000年的每10万人26.6例增至2009年的每10万人31.5例(年度百分比变化=1.14%,p<0.0001)。年龄组(40 - 49)、(50 - 59)和(70岁及以上)的发病率在早些年有所上升,最近(2005 - 2009年)趋于稳定。年龄组(60 - 69)的发病率自2003年以来未下降,而年龄组(15 - 39)的发病率在2004年开始下降。

结论

根据2000 - 2009年伊拉克癌症登记处的数据,伊拉克所有女性乳腺癌(各年龄段)的发病率有所上升。我们发现年龄组60 - 69的年龄别发病率迅速上升。然而,伊拉克女性乳腺癌患者的年龄仍比发达国家的患者年轻。需要进一步开展流行病学研究以探究可能的病因和预防措施。

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