Department of Statistics and Informatics, College of Computer Science & Mathematics, University of Mosul, Mosul, Iraq.
Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2021 Dec 1;22(12):3889-3896. doi: 10.31557/APJCP.2021.22.12.3889.
Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women around the world.
This study aims to explore the time trends in the incidence of breast cancer in Iraq in twenty years period (2000 to 2019) to assist health officials and decision-makers in planning and organizing programs to controlling breast cancer growth and enhance women's health.
Breast cancer data from 2000 to 2019 were obtained from the Iraqi Cancer Registry's yearly book series (Ministry of Health). The United Nations Population Division provides annual population estimates by 5-year age groups and gender. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate and assess age-specific and age-standardized incidence rates.
A total of 72,022 breast cancer cases were identified among women in Iraq between 2000 and 2019. The average age-standardized incidence rate (ASIRs) was 37.883/100,000. Breast cancer ASIR Iraq exhibited a significantly rising trend during the study period, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of +3.192%. Furthermore, a significant increase in breast cancer incidence for the age group 40-49 (AAPC = +2.162%), 50-59 (AAPC=+3.210%), 60-69 (AAPC=+5.551%), and age 70 and over (AAPC=+7.943%) were observed. When compared to other countries in the world, Iraq had a moderate rate of breast cancer ASIR.
In summary, our finding revealed an increase in the incidence rates of breast cancer among Iraqi women from 2000 to 2019. Further research is needed to explore risk factors including levels of overweight, dietary changes, physical inactivity, obesity, smoking, high marriage age, and low birth rates to prevent and control breast cancer.
乳腺癌是全世界女性最常见的癌症。
本研究旨在探讨 20 年间(2000 年至 2019 年)伊拉克乳腺癌发病率的时间趋势,为卫生官员和决策者规划和组织控制乳腺癌增长和提高妇女健康的项目提供帮助。
从伊拉克癌症登记处的年度系列书籍(卫生部)中获取了 2000 年至 2019 年的乳腺癌数据。联合国人口司按 5 岁年龄组和性别提供年度人口估计数。使用 Joinpoint 回归分析计算和评估年龄特异性和年龄标准化发病率。
在 2000 年至 2019 年间,伊拉克女性中共有 72022 例乳腺癌病例。平均年龄标准化发病率(ASIRs)为 37.883/100000。研究期间,伊拉克乳腺癌 ASIR 呈明显上升趋势,年均百分比变化(AAPC)为+3.192%。此外,40-49 岁(AAPC=+2.162%)、50-59 岁(AAPC=+3.210%)、60-69 岁(AAPC=+5.551%)和 70 岁及以上年龄组(AAPC=+7.943%)的乳腺癌发病率均显著增加。与世界其他国家相比,伊拉克的乳腺癌 ASIR 处于中等水平。
总之,我们的研究结果显示,2000 年至 2019 年期间,伊拉克女性乳腺癌发病率上升。需要进一步研究来探讨包括超重水平、饮食变化、缺乏运动、肥胖、吸烟、晚婚和低出生率等风险因素,以预防和控制乳腺癌。