Böckerman Petri, Hyytinen Ari, Kaprio Jaakko
Labour Institute for Economic Research and IZA, Helsinki, Finland.
Jyväskylä University School of Business and Economics, Jyväskylä, Finland.
Tob Control. 2015 Jul;24(4):348-53. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2013-051303. Epub 2014 Feb 25.
To examine the long-term effects of smoking on labour market outcomes using twin data matched to register-based individual information on earnings.
Twin data for Finnish men born 1945-1957 was used to remove the shared environmental and genetic factors. The results were subjected to extensive robustness testing. Lifetime cigarette consumption was measured by (cumulative) cigarette pack-years in early adulthood. The average of an individual's earnings (and, alternatively, taxable income) was measured over a subsequent 15-year period in later adulthood.
Smokers have lower long-term income and earnings. For example, controlling for the shared environmental and genetic factors using the data on genetically identical twins, smoking is negatively associated with lifetime income (p=0.015). The negative association was also robust to the use of various covariates, such as education, health indicators and extraversion.
Smoking is negatively related to long-term labour market outcomes. The provision of information about the indirect monetary costs of smoking may thus complement the policy efforts that aim at educating consumers about the health costs of smoking.
利用与基于登记的个人收入信息相匹配的双胞胎数据,研究吸烟对劳动力市场结果的长期影响。
使用1945 - 1957年出生的芬兰男性双胞胎数据,以消除共同的环境和遗传因素。对结果进行了广泛的稳健性测试。终生香烟消费量通过成年早期的(累积)香烟包年数来衡量。个人收入(以及应税收入)的平均值在成年后期的随后15年期间进行衡量。
吸烟者的长期收入和收益较低。例如,使用同卵双胞胎的数据控制共同的环境和遗传因素后,吸烟与终生收入呈负相关(p = 0.015)。这种负相关在使用各种协变量(如教育、健康指标和外向性)时也很稳健。
吸烟与长期劳动力市场结果呈负相关。因此,提供关于吸烟间接货币成本的信息可能会补充旨在教育消费者了解吸烟健康成本的政策努力。