MacCallum Niall S, Finney Simon J, Gordon Sarah E, Quinlan Gregory J, Evans Timothy W
Unit of Critical Care, Biomedical Research Unit, Imperial College London, Royal Brompton Hospital, Royal Brompton & Harefield NHS Foundation Trust, London, England.
Unit of Critical Care, Biomedical Research Unit, Imperial College London, Royal Brompton Hospital, Royal Brompton & Harefield NHS Foundation Trust, London, England.
Chest. 2014 Jun;145(6):1197-1203. doi: 10.1378/chest.13-1023.
Debate remains regarding whether the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) identifies patients with clinically important inflammation. Defining criteria may be disproportionately sensitive and lack specificity. We investigated the incidence and evolution of SIRS in a homogenous population (following cardiac surgery) over 7 days to establish the relationship between SIRS and outcome, modeling alternative permutations of the criteria to increase their discriminatory power for mortality, length of stay, and organ dysfunction.
We conducted a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from a cardiothoracic ICU. Consecutive patients requiring ICU admission for the first time after cardiac surgery (N = 2,764) admitted over a 41-month period were studied.
Concurrently, 96.2% of patients met the standard two criterion definition for SIRS within 24 h of ICU admission. Their mortality was 2.78%. By contrast, three or four criteria were more discriminatory of patients with higher mortality (4.21% and 10.2%, respectively). A test dataset suggested that meeting two criteria for at least 6 consecutive h may be the best model. This had a positive and negative predictive value of 7% and 99.5%, respectively, in a validation dataset. It performed well at predicting organ dysfunction and prolonged ICU admission.
The concept of SIRS remains valid following cardiac surgery. With suitable modification, its specificity can be improved significantly. We propose that meeting two or more defining criteria for 6 h could be used to define better populations with more difficult clinical courses following cardiac surgery. This group may merit a different clinical approach.
关于全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)是否能识别出具有临床重要炎症的患者,仍存在争议。定义标准可能敏感性过高且缺乏特异性。我们调查了同质人群(心脏手术后)7天内SIRS的发生率和演变情况,以确定SIRS与预后之间的关系,对标准的替代排列进行建模,以提高其对死亡率、住院时间和器官功能障碍的鉴别能力。
我们对心胸重症监护病房前瞻性收集的数据进行了回顾性分析。研究对象为在41个月期间首次因心脏手术后需要入住重症监护病房的连续患者(N = 2764)。
同时,96.2%的患者在入住重症监护病房后24小时内符合SIRS的标准两项定义。他们的死亡率为2.78%。相比之下,三项或四项标准对死亡率较高的患者更具鉴别力(分别为4.21%和10.2%)。一个测试数据集表明,连续至少6小时符合两项标准可能是最佳模型。在验证数据集中,其阳性预测值和阴性预测值分别为7%和99.5%。它在预测器官功能障碍和延长重症监护病房住院时间方面表现良好。
心脏手术后SIRS的概念仍然有效。通过适当修改,其特异性可显著提高。我们建议,符合两项或更多定义标准6小时可用于更好地定义心脏手术后临床病程更复杂的人群。这组人群可能值得采用不同的临床方法。