Batz Michael, Hoffmann Sandra, Morris J Glenn
1 Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida , Gainesville, Florida.
Foodborne Pathog Dis. 2014 May;11(5):395-402. doi: 10.1089/fpd.2013.1658. Epub 2014 Mar 3.
Measures of disease burden such as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) are increasingly important to risk-based food safety policy. They provide a means of comparing relative risk from diverse health outcomes. We present detailed disease-outcome trees and EQ-5D scoring for 14 major foodborne pathogens representing over 95% of foodborne illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths due to specified agents in the United States (Campylobacter spp., Clostridium perfringens, Cryptosporidium parvum, Cyclospora cayetanensis, Escherichia coli O157:H7, Shiga toxin-producing E. coli non-O157, Listeria monocytogenes, nontyphoidal Salmonella enterica, Shigella, Toxoplasma gondii, Vibrio vulnificus, Vibrio parahaemolyticus and other noncholera Vibrio, and Yersinia enterocolitica). We estimate over 5800 QALYs lost per 1000 cases of L. monocytogenes and V. vulnificus, compared to 125 QALYs lost per 1000 cases of T. gondii, 26 for E. coli O157:H7, 16 for Salmonella and Campylobacter, and 14 for Y. enterocolitica. The remaining 7 pathogens are estimated to cause less than 5 QALYs lost per 1000 cases. In total, these 14 pathogens cause over 61,000 in QALY loss annually, with more than 90% due solely to acute infection being responsible for 65% of total QALY loss, with premature mortality and morbidity due to chronic and congenital illness responsible for another 28%. These estimates of the burden of chronic sequelae are likely conservative; additional epidemiological research is needed to support more accurate burden estimates. This study shows the value of using integrated metrics for comparing disease burden, and the need to consider chronic and congenital illness when prioritizing foodborne pathogens.
诸如质量调整生命年(QALYs)等疾病负担衡量指标对于基于风险的食品安全政策日益重要。它们提供了一种比较不同健康结果相对风险的方法。我们展示了针对14种主要食源性病原体的详细疾病结果树和EQ - 5D评分,这些病原体占美国因特定病原体导致的食源性疾病、住院和死亡病例的95%以上(弯曲杆菌属、产气荚膜梭菌、微小隐孢子虫、卡耶塔环孢子球虫、大肠杆菌O157:H7、产志贺毒素大肠杆菌非O157、单核细胞增生李斯特菌、非伤寒沙门氏菌、志贺氏菌、刚地弓形虫、创伤弧菌、副溶血性弧菌和其他非霍乱弧菌,以及小肠结肠炎耶尔森菌)。我们估计,每1000例单核细胞增生李斯特菌和创伤弧菌感染导致超过5800个QALYs损失,而每1000例刚地弓形虫感染导致125个QALYs损失,大肠杆菌O157:H7为26个,沙门氏菌和弯曲杆菌为16个,小肠结肠炎耶尔森菌为14个。其余7种病原体估计每1000例感染导致的QALYs损失少于5个。总体而言,这14种病原体每年导致超过61000个QALYs损失,其中仅急性感染导致的损失占总QALYs损失的65%,超过90%,慢性和先天性疾病导致的过早死亡和发病占另外28%。这些慢性后遗症负担的估计可能较为保守;需要更多的流行病学研究来支持更准确的负担估计。本研究显示了使用综合指标比较疾病负担的价值,以及在对食源性病原体进行优先级排序时考虑慢性和先天性疾病的必要性。