U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, Washington, DC 20024, USA.
J Food Prot. 2012 Jul;75(7):1292-302. doi: 10.4315/0362-028X.JFP-11-417.
In this article we estimate the annual cost of illness and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) loss in the United States caused by 14 of the 31 major foodborne pathogens reported on by Scallan et al. (Emerg. Infect. Dis. 17:7-15, 2011), based on their incidence estimates of foodborne illness in the United States. These 14 pathogens account for 95 % of illnesses and hospitalizations and 98 % of deaths due to identifiable pathogens estimated by Scallan et al. We estimate that these 14 pathogens cause $14.0 billion (ranging from $4.4 billion to $33.0 billion) in cost of illness and a loss of 61,000 QALYs (ranging from 19,000 to 145,000 QALYs) per year. Roughly 90 % of this loss is caused by five pathogens: nontyphoidal Salmonella enterica ($3.3 billion; 17,000 QALYs), Campylobacter spp. ($1.7 billion; 13,300 QALYs), Listeria monocytogenes ($2.6 billion; 9,400 QALYs), Toxoplasma gondii ($3 billion; 11,000 QALYs), and norovirus ($2 billion; 5,000 QALYs). A companion article attributes losses estimated in this study to the consumption of specific categories of foods. To arrive at these estimates, for each pathogen we create disease outcome trees that characterize the symptoms, severities, durations, outcomes, and likelihoods of health states associated with that pathogen. We then estimate the cost of illness (medical costs, productivity loss, and valuation of premature mortality) for each pathogen. We also estimate QALY loss for each health state associated with a given pathogen, using the EuroQol 5D scale. Construction of disease outcome trees, outcome-specific cost of illness, and EuroQol 5D scoring are described in greater detail in a second companion article.
本文根据 Scallan 等人在美国报告的 31 种主要食源性致病菌中的 14 种致病菌的发病率估计数,估算了 14 种在美国造成的疾病年经济负担和质量调整生命年(QALY)损失。这 14 种病原体导致的疾病占 Scallan 等人估计的可识别病原体导致的疾病的 95%,住院治疗占 95%,死亡占 98%。我们估计,这 14 种病原体每年导致 140 亿美元(44 亿至 330 亿美元)的疾病经济负担和 6.1 万 QALY 损失(1.9 万至 14.5 万 QALY)。大约 90%的损失是由五种病原体引起的:非伤寒沙门氏菌(330 亿美元;17000 QALY)、弯曲杆菌(170 亿美元;13300 QALY)、李斯特菌(260 亿美元;9400 QALY)、刚地弓形虫(300 亿美元;11000 QALY)和诺如病毒(200 亿美元;5000 QALY)。一篇相关文章将本研究中估计的损失归因于特定类别的食物消费。为了得出这些估计值,我们为每种病原体创建疾病结果树,这些树描述了与该病原体相关的症状、严重程度、持续时间、结果和健康状态的可能性。然后,我们估计每种病原体的疾病经济负担(医疗费用、生产力损失和过早死亡的估值)。我们还使用 EuroQol 5D 量表估计与给定病原体相关的每个健康状态的 QALY 损失。疾病结果树的构建、特定疾病的医疗成本以及 EuroQol 5D 评分在另一篇相关文章中进行了更详细的描述。