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自评健康变化与高龄老人死亡率

Self-rated health changes and oldest-old mortality.

作者信息

Vogelsang Eric M

机构信息

Department of Sociology and Center for Demography and Ecology, University of Wisconsin-Madison.

出版信息

J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2014 Jul;69(4):612-21. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbu013. Epub 2014 Mar 3.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study explores how 2 measures of self-rated health (SRH) change are related to mortality among oldest-old adults. In doing so, it also considers how associations between SRH and mortality may depend on prior SRH.

METHOD

Data come from the Asset and Health Dynamics survey--the oldest-old portion of the Health and Retirement Study-and follow 6,233 individuals across 13 years. I use parametric hazard models to examine relationships between death and 2 measures of short-term SRH change--a computed measure comparing SRH at time t-1 and t, and a respondent-provided retrospectively reported change.

RESULTS

Respondents who demonstrate or report any SRH change between survey waves died at a greater rate than those with consistent SRH. After controlling for morbidity, individual characteristics, and SRH, those who changed SRH categories between survey waves and those who retrospectively reported an improvement in health continue to have a greater risk of death, when compared with those with no change.

DISCUSSION

These findings suggest that the well-established associations between SRH status and mortality may understate the risk of death for oldest-old individuals with recent subjective health improvements.

摘要

目的

本研究探讨老年人自我健康评价(SRH)的两种变化测量指标与死亡率之间的关系。在此过程中,还会考虑SRH与死亡率之间的关联如何取决于先前的SRH。

方法

数据来自资产与健康动态调查——健康与退休研究中最年长的部分——并对6233名个体进行了长达13年的跟踪。我使用参数风险模型来检验死亡与两种短期SRH变化测量指标之间的关系——一种是通过计算得出的在时间t - 1和t时SRH的比较指标,另一种是受访者提供的回顾性报告变化。

结果

在调查波次之间表现出或报告有任何SRH变化的受访者的死亡率高于SRH保持一致的受访者。在控制了发病率、个体特征和SRH之后,与没有变化的受访者相比,在调查波次之间改变了SRH类别以及回顾性报告健康状况有所改善的受访者仍然有更高的死亡风险。

讨论

这些发现表明,SRH状况与死亡率之间已确立的关联可能低估了近期主观健康状况有所改善的老年人的死亡风险。

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