IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst. 2012 Mar;23(3):439-50. doi: 10.1109/TNNLS.2011.2179309.
An energy system is the one of most important parts of the steel industry, and its reasonable operation exhibits a critical impact on manufacturing cost, energy security, and natural environment. With respect to the operation optimization problem for coke oven gas, a two-phase data-driven based forecasting and optimized adjusting method is proposed, where a Gaussian process-based echo states network is established to predict the gas real-time flow and the gasholder level in the prediction phase. Then, using the predicted gas flow and gasholder level, we develop a certain heuristic to quantify the user's optimal gas adjustment. The proposed operation measure has been verified to be effective by experimenting with the real-world on-line energy data sets coming from Shanghai Baosteel Corporation, Ltd., China. At present, the scheduling software developed with the proposed model and ensuing algorithms have been applied to the production practice of Baosteel. The application effects indicate that the software system can largely improve the real-time prediction accuracy of the gas units and provide with the optimized gas balance direction for the energy optimization.
能源系统是钢铁工业最重要的部分之一,其合理运行对制造成本、能源安全和自然环境都有至关重要的影响。针对焦炉煤气的运行优化问题,提出了一种基于两阶段数据驱动的预测和优化调整方法,其中建立了基于高斯过程的回声状态网络来预测煤气的实时流量和储气罐中的液位。然后,使用预测的煤气流量和储气罐液位,我们开发了一种特定的启发式方法来量化用户的最优煤气调整。通过在中国上海宝钢有限公司的实际在线能源数据集上进行实验,验证了所提出的操作措施的有效性。目前,所提出的模型和后续算法开发的调度软件已经应用于宝钢的生产实践。应用效果表明,该软件系统可以大大提高煤气机组的实时预测精度,并为能源优化提供优化的煤气平衡方向。