Michael S. Rendall is with the Department of Sociology, University of Maryland, College Park. Margaret M. Weden, Christopher Lau, and Peter Brownell are with RAND, Santa Monica, CA. Zafar Nazarov is with the Department of Economics, Purdue University, Fort Wayne, IN. Meenakshi Fernandes is with the World Food Programme, Rome, Italy.
Am J Public Health. 2014 Jul;104(7):1255-62. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2014.302001. Epub 2014 May 15.
We evaluated bias in estimated obesity prevalence owing to error in parental reporting. We also evaluated bias mitigation through application of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's biologically implausible value (BIV) cutoffs.
We simulated obesity prevalence of children aged 2 to 5 years in 2 panel surveys after counterfactually substituting parameters estimated from 1999-2008 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data for prevalence of extreme height and weight and for proportions obese in extreme height or weight categories.
Heights reported below the first and fifth height-for-age percentiles explained between one half and two thirds, respectively, of total bias in obesity prevalence. Bias was reduced by one tenth when excluding cases with height-for-age and weight-for-age BIVs and by one fifth when excluding cases with body mass-index-for-age BIVs. Applying BIVs, however, resulted in incorrect exclusion of nonnegligible proportions of obese children.
Correcting the reporting of children's heights in the first percentile alone may reduce overestimation of early childhood obesity prevalence in surveys with parental reporting by one half to two thirds. Excluding BIVs has limited effectiveness in mitigating this bias.
我们评估了由于父母报告错误而导致肥胖患病率估计值出现偏差的情况。我们还评估了通过应用疾病控制和预防中心(CDC)的不合理值(BIV)截止值来减轻偏差的效果。
我们模拟了两个儿童 2 岁至 5 岁的纵向调查中的肥胖患病率,方法是将从 1999-2008 年全国健康和营养调查数据中估计的极端身高和体重的患病率以及在极端身高或体重类别中肥胖的比例参数代入到实际参数中。
报告的身高低于第 1 和第 5 个身高年龄百分位数,分别解释了肥胖患病率总偏差的一半到三分之二。当排除身高年龄和体重年龄 BIV 病例时,偏差减少了十分之一,当排除体重年龄 BIV 病例时,偏差减少了五分之一。然而,应用 BIV 会导致相当比例的肥胖儿童被错误地排除在外。
仅纠正儿童身高百分位报告中的第 1 个百分位,就可以将父母报告的调查中幼儿肥胖患病率的高估降低一半到三分之二。排除 BIV 对减轻这种偏差的效果有限。