Li Guo, Zhou Ying, Liu Mengqi
School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.
Business School, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China.
ScientificWorldJournal. 2014;2014:870892. doi: 10.1155/2014/870892. Epub 2014 Apr 13.
With the frequent occurrence of major emergencies, emergency management gets high attention from all around the world. This paper investigates the comprehensive optimization of major emergency evacuation route and departure time, in which case the evacuation propagation mechanism is considered under traffic control. Given the practical assumptions, we first establish a comprehensive optimization model based on the simulation of evacuation route and departure time. Furthermore, we explore the reasonable description method of evacuation traffic flow propagation under traffic control, including the establishment of traffic flow propagation model and the design of the simulation module that can simulate the evacuation traffic flow. Finally, we propose a heuristic algorithm for the optimization of this comprehensive model. In case analysis, we take some areas in Beijing as the evaluation sources to verify the reliability of our model. A series of constructive suggestions for Beijing's emergency evacuation are proposed, which can be applied to the actual situation under traffic control.
随着重大突发事件的频繁发生,应急管理受到全球各界的高度关注。本文研究重大应急疏散路线和出发时间的综合优化问题,其中考虑了交通管制下的疏散传播机制。基于实际假设,我们首先基于疏散路线和出发时间的模拟建立了一个综合优化模型。此外,我们探索了交通管制下疏散交通流传播的合理描述方法,包括交通流传播模型的建立和能够模拟疏散交通流的模拟模块设计。最后,我们提出了一种用于优化该综合模型的启发式算法。在案例分析中,我们以北京的一些区域作为评估源来验证我们模型的可靠性。针对北京的应急疏散提出了一系列建设性建议,这些建议可应用于交通管制下的实际情况。