Chen Peng, Zhang Jiquan, Sun Yingyue, Liu Xiaojing
School of Tourism and Geography Sciences, Jilin Normal University, Siping 136000, China.
School of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130117, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2016 Dec 21;13(12):1260. doi: 10.3390/ijerph13121260.
Urban waterlogging seriously threatens the safety of urban residents and properties. Wargame simulation research on resident emergency evacuation from waterlogged areas can determine the effectiveness of emergency response plans for high risk events at low cost. Based on wargame theory and emergency evacuation plans, we used a wargame exercise method, incorporating qualitative and quantitative aspects, to build an urban waterlogging disaster emergency shelter using a wargame exercise and evaluation model. The simulation was empirically tested in Daoli District of Harbin. The results showed that the wargame simulation scored 96.40 points, evaluated as good. From the simulation results, wargame simulation of urban waterlogging emergency procedures for disaster response can improve the flexibility and capacity for command, management and decision-making in emergency management departments.
城市内涝严重威胁城市居民的生命财产安全。针对内涝地区居民应急疏散的兵棋推演模拟研究能够以低成本确定针对高风险事件的应急响应计划的有效性。基于兵棋推演理论和应急疏散预案，我们采用了一种融合定性和定量方面的兵棋推演演练方法，通过兵棋推演演练和评估模型构建了城市内涝灾害应急避难所。该模拟在哈尔滨道里区进行了实证检验。结果显示，兵棋推演模拟得分为96.40分，评定为良好。从模拟结果来看，城市内涝应急程序的兵棋推演模拟可提高应急管理部门指挥、管理和决策的灵活性与能力。
