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问题顺序产生的语境效应揭示了人类判断的量子本质。

Context effects produced by question orders reveal quantum nature of human judgments.

机构信息

School of Communication, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210; and

School of Communication, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210; and.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Jul 1;111(26):9431-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1407756111. Epub 2014 Jun 16.

Abstract

The hypothesis that human reasoning obeys the laws of quantum rather than classical probability has been used in recent years to explain a variety of seemingly "irrational" judgment and decision-making findings. This article provides independent evidence for this hypothesis based on an a priori prediction, called the quantum question (QQ) equality, concerning the effect of asking attitude questions successively in different orders. We empirically evaluated the predicted QQ equality using 70 national representative surveys and two laboratory experiments that manipulated question orders. Each national study contained 651-3,006 participants. The results provided strong support for the predicted QQ equality. These findings suggest that quantum probability theory, initially invented to explain noncommutativity of measurements in physics, provides a simple account for a surprising regularity regarding measurement order effects in social and behavioral science.

摘要

近年来,有人提出假设,认为人类的推理服从量子概率而非经典概率的法则,该假设被用于解释各种看似“不合理”的判断和决策发现。本文基于一个关于先后以不同顺序提出态度问题的影响的先验预测,即量子问题(QQ)等式,为这一假设提供了独立证据。我们使用 70 项全国代表性调查和两项实验室实验来实证评估预测的 QQ 等式,这些实验操纵了问题顺序。每个全国性研究包含 651-3006 名参与者。结果强烈支持预测的 QQ 等式。这些发现表明,量子概率论最初是为了解释物理学中测量的非对易性而发明的,它为社会和行为科学中关于测量顺序效应的惊人规律提供了一个简单的解释。

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