Jemberu W T, Mourits M C M, Woldehanna T, Hogeveen H
Business Economics Group, Wageningen University, Hollandseweg 1, 6706 KN Wageningen, The Netherlands; Department of Veterinary Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Gondar, P.O. Box 196, Gondar, Ethiopia.
Business Economics Group, Wageningen University, Hollandseweg 1, 6706 KN Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Prev Vet Med. 2014 Sep 1;116(1-2):26-36. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.06.004. Epub 2014 Jun 17.
Foot and mouth disease is endemic in Ethiopia with occurrences of several outbreaks every year. Quantitative information about the impact of the disease on smallholder farming systems in the country is, however, scarce. This study presents a quantitative assessment of the clinical and direct economic impacts of foot and mouth disease outbreaks on household level in smallholder livestock farming systems. Impacts were assessed based on data obtained from case outbreaks in cattle in crop-livestock mixed and pastoral smallholder farming systems that occurred in 2012 and 2013. Data were collected by using questionnaires administered to 512 smallholder farmers in six districts within two administrate zones that represent the two smallholder farming systems. Foot and mouth disease morbidity rates of 85.2% and 94.9% at herd level; and 74.3% and 60.8% at animal level in the affected herds were determined for crop-livestock mixed system and pastoral system, respectively. The overall and calf specific mortality rates were 2.4% and 9.7% for the crop-livestock mixed system, and 0.7% and 2.6% for the pastoral system, respectively. Herd level morbidity rate was statistically significantly higher in the pastoral system than in the crop-livestock mixed system (P<0.001). The economic losses of foot and mouth disease outbreak due to milk loss, draft power loss and mortality were on average USD 76 per affected herd and USD 9.8 per head of cattle in the affected herds in crop-livestock mixed system; and USD 174 per affected herd and USD 5.3 per head of cattle in the affected herds in the pastoral system. The herd level economic losses were statistically significantly higher for the pastoral system than for the crop-livestock mixed system (P<0.001). The major loss due to the disease occurred as a result of milk losses and draft power losses whereas mortality losses were relatively low. Although the presented estimates on the economic losses accounted only for the visible direct impacts of the disease on herd level, these conservative estimates signify a potential socioeconomic gain from a control intervention.
口蹄疫在埃塞俄比亚呈地方流行性,每年都会爆发数次疫情。然而,关于该病对该国小农养殖系统影响的定量信息却很匮乏。本研究对小农畜牧养殖系统中口蹄疫疫情在家庭层面造成的临床和直接经济影响进行了定量评估。基于2012年和2013年在作物-畜牧混合及牧区小农养殖系统中发生的牛病例疫情所获数据评估影响。通过对代表这两种小农养殖系统的两个行政区内六个区的512位小农养殖户进行问卷调查来收集数据。在受影响畜群中,作物-畜牧混合系统和牧区系统的口蹄疫发病率在畜群水平分别为85.2%和94.9%;在个体动物水平分别为74.3%和60.8%。作物-畜牧混合系统的总体死亡率和犊牛特定死亡率分别为2.4%和9.7%,牧区系统分别为0.7%和2.6%。牧区系统的畜群水平发病率在统计学上显著高于作物-畜牧混合系统(P<0.001)。在作物-畜牧混合系统中,口蹄疫疫情因牛奶损失、役力损失和死亡造成的经济损失平均每受影响畜群为76美元,每头受影响牛为9.8美元;在牧区系统中,每受影响畜群为174美元,每头受影响牛为5.3美元。牧区系统的畜群水平经济损失在统计学上显著高于作物-畜牧混合系统(P<0.001)。该病造成的主要损失是由于牛奶损失和役力损失所致,而死亡损失相对较小。尽管所呈现的经济损失估计仅考虑了该病在畜群水平上明显的直接影响,但这些保守估计表明控制干预措施可能带来社会经济收益。