Loughnan Margaret, Tapper Nigel, Loughnan Terence
CRC for Water Sensitive Cities, School of Geography and Environmental Science, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia.
School of Medicine Nursing and Health Science, Monash University, Wellington Road, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia.
J Environ Public Health. 2014;2014:483785. doi: 10.1155/2014/483785. Epub 2014 Jun 4.
The effects of extreme temperatures on human health have been well described. However, the adverse health effects of warm weather that occurs outside the summer period have had little attention. We used daily anomalous AMI morbidity and daily anomalous temperature to determine the impact of "unseasonable" temperature on human health. The "unseasonably" warm weather was attributed to a slow moving high pressure system to the east of Melbourne. No morbidity displacement was noted during either of these periods suggesting that morbidity due to "unseasonable" temperatures is avoidable. An increase in warmer weather during the cooler months of spring may result in increased morbidity, and an alert system based on summer thresholds may not be appropriate for early season heat health warnings. A straightforward alert system based on calculating anomalous temperature from daily weather forecasts may reduce the public health impact of "unseasonably" warm weather.
极端温度对人类健康的影响已有详尽描述。然而,夏季以外时段出现的温暖天气对健康的不利影响却鲜有关注。我们利用每日异常急性心肌梗死发病率和每日异常温度来确定“不合时宜”的温度对人类健康的影响。“不合时宜”的温暖天气归因于墨尔本以东一个移动缓慢的高压系统。在这两个时段均未发现发病时间的转移,这表明“不合时宜”的温度导致的发病情况是可以避免的。春季较凉爽月份中温暖天气的增加可能会导致发病率上升,基于夏季阈值的警报系统可能不适用于季节初期的高温健康预警。一个基于根据每日天气预报计算异常温度的简单警报系统可能会减少“不合时宜”的温暖天气对公众健康的影响。