Feng Qingyang, Wei Ye, Zhu Dexiang, Ye Lechi, Lin Qi, Li Wenxiang, Qin Xinyu, Lyu Minzhi, Xu Jianmin
Department of General Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Department of Biostatistics, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
PLoS One. 2014 Aug 5;9(8):e104348. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0104348. eCollection 2014.
The optimal timing of resection for synchronous colorectal liver metastases is still controversial. Retrospective cohort studies always had baseline imbalances in comparing simultaneous resection with staged strategy. Significantly more patients with mild conditions received simultaneous resections. Previous published meta-analyses based on these studies did not correct these biases, resulting in low reliability. Our meta-analysis was conducted to compensate for this deficiency and find candidates for each surgical strategy.
A systemic search for major databases and relevant journals from January 2000 to April 2013 was performed. The primary outcomes were postoperative mortality, morbidity, overall survival and disease-free survival. Other outcomes such as number of patients need blood transfusion and length of hospital stay were also assessed. Baseline analyses were conducted to find and correct potential confounding factors.
22 studies with a total of 4494 patients were finally included. After correction of baseline imbalance, simultaneous and staged resections were similar in postoperative mortality (RR = 1.14, P = 0.52), morbidity (RR = 1.02, P = 0.85), overall survival (HR = 0.96, P = 0.50) and disease-free survival (HR = 0.97, P = 0.87). Only in pulmonary complications, simultaneous resection took a significant advantage (RR = 0.23, P = 0.003). The number of liver metastases was the major factor interfering with selecting surgical strategies. With >3 metastases, simultaneous and staged strategies were almost the same in morbidity (49.4% vs. 50.9%). With ≤3 metastases, staged resection caused lower morbidity (13.8% vs. 17.2%), not statistically significant.
The number of liver metastases was the major confounding factor for postoperative morbidity, especially in staged resections. Without baseline imbalances, simultaneous took no statistical significant advantage in safety and efficacy. Considering the inherent limitations of this meta-analysis, the results should be interpret and applied prudently.
同期结直肠癌肝转移的最佳切除时机仍存在争议。回顾性队列研究在比较同期切除与分期手术策略时总是存在基线不平衡。病情较轻的患者接受同期切除的明显更多。此前基于这些研究发表的荟萃分析并未纠正这些偏差,导致可靠性较低。我们进行这项荟萃分析是为了弥补这一不足,并为每种手术策略找到合适的对象。
对2000年1月至2013年4月期间的主要数据库和相关期刊进行了系统检索。主要结局指标为术后死亡率、发病率、总生存期和无病生存期。还评估了其他结局指标,如需要输血的患者数量和住院时间。进行基线分析以发现并纠正潜在的混杂因素。
最终纳入22项研究,共4494例患者。校正基线不平衡后,同期切除和分期切除在术后死亡率(RR = 1.14,P = 0.52)、发病率(RR = 1.02,P = 0.85)、总生存期(HR = 0.96,P = 0.50)和无病生存期(HR = 0.97,P = 0.87)方面相似。仅在肺部并发症方面,同期切除具有显著优势(RR = 0.23,P = 0.003)。肝转移灶数量是影响手术策略选择的主要因素。转移灶>3个时,同期和分期手术策略在发病率方面几乎相同(49.4%对50.9%)。转移灶≤3个时,分期切除的发病率较低(13.8%对17.2%),但无统计学意义。
肝转移灶数量是术后发病率的主要混杂因素,尤其是在分期切除中。在不存在基线不平衡的情况下,同期切除在安全性和有效性方面无统计学显著优势。考虑到本荟萃分析的固有局限性,应对结果进行审慎解读和应用。