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猪农和野猪猎人对保加利亚、德国和俄罗斯联邦西部地区报告非洲猪瘟的态度和信念。

Attitudes and Beliefs of Pig Farmers and Wild Boar Hunters Towards Reporting of African Swine Fever in Bulgaria, Germany and the Western Part of the Russian Federation.

机构信息

Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Royal Veterinary College, London, UK.

Pirbright Institute, Pirbright, UK.

出版信息

Transbound Emerg Dis. 2016 Apr;63(2):e194-204. doi: 10.1111/tbed.12254. Epub 2014 Aug 6.

Abstract

This study investigated the attitudes and beliefs of pig farmers and hunters in Germany, Bulgaria and the western part of the Russian Federation towards reporting suspected cases of African swine fever (ASF). Data were collected using a web-based questionnaire survey targeting pig farmers and hunters in these three study areas. Separate multivariable logistic regression models identified key variables associated with each of the three binary outcome variables whether or not farmers would immediately report suspected cases of ASF, whether or not hunters would submit samples from hunted wild boar for diagnostic testing and whether or not hunters would report wild boar carcasses. The results showed that farmers who would not immediately report suspected cases of ASF are more likely to believe that their reputation in the local community would be adversely affected if they were to report it, that they can control the outbreak themselves without the involvement of veterinary services and that laboratory confirmation would take too long. The modelling also indicated that hunters who did not usually submit samples of their harvested wild boar for ASF diagnosis, and hunters who did not report wild boar carcasses are more likely to justify their behaviour through a lack of awareness of the possibility of reporting. These findings emphasize the need to develop more effective communication strategies targeted at pig farmers and hunters about the disease, its epidemiology, consequences and control methods, to increase the likelihood of early reporting, especially in the Russian Federation where the virus circulates.

摘要

本研究调查了德国、保加利亚和俄罗斯联邦西部地区的养猪户和猎人对报告疑似非洲猪瘟(ASF)病例的态度和信念。通过针对这三个研究地区的养猪户和猎人的网络问卷调查收集数据。使用多变量逻辑回归模型分别确定了与三个二项结果变量(农民是否会立即报告疑似 ASF 病例、猎人是否会提交猎获野猪的样本进行诊断检测以及猎人是否会报告野猪尸体)相关的关键变量。结果表明,不会立即报告疑似 ASF 病例的农民更有可能认为,如果他们报告,他们在当地社区的声誉会受到不利影响,他们可以在不涉及兽医服务的情况下自行控制疫情,并且实验室确认需要太长时间。建模还表明,通常不提交其猎获野猪进行 ASF 诊断样本的猎人,以及不报告野猪尸体的猎人,更有可能通过缺乏对报告可能性的认识来为自己的行为辩护。这些发现强调需要制定更有效的沟通策略,针对养猪户和猎人开展有关疾病、流行病学、后果和控制方法的宣传,以提高早期报告的可能性,特别是在病毒传播的俄罗斯联邦。

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