Burgdorf James R
School of Medicine, Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, Health Policy Division, University of California - San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Health Serv Res. 2014 Dec;49 Suppl 2(Suppl 2):2104-28. doi: 10.1111/1475-6773.12220. Epub 2014 Aug 20.
To examine the robustness of findings regarding state-level adult dependent coverage expansions using detailed outcomes that specify coverage source.
This study uses the 2001-2009 files of the Current Population Survey's Annual Social and Economic Supplement, covering calendar years 2000-2008, and considers young adults ages 19 through 29.
Difference-in-differences methods were used to estimate the effect of state-level dependent coverage expansions on finely detailed categories of coverage, and falsification tests were used to evaluate the models themselves.
Certain published results on state-level parental coverage expansions are flawed, with reported increases driven by changes in spousal coverage. Other published results appear to be in fact driven by parental coverage, but they are not robust to alternative model adjustments.
This study shows evidence that one study's results on "dependent" coverage are in fact driven by changes in rates of spousal coverage. Results from a second study, though not robust to use of a more conventional DD model, would seem to apply most strongly to individuals at ages at which one would typically have lost parental coverage before reform, consistent with a "passive" effect rather than an "active" effect that enrolls previously uninsured youths.
使用指定保险覆盖来源的详细结果,检验关于州级成人受抚养人保险覆盖范围扩大的研究结果的稳健性。
本研究使用了当前人口调查年度社会和经济补充调查2001 - 2009年的文件,涵盖2000 - 2008年历年,并考虑了19至29岁的年轻人。
采用差分法估计州级受抚养人保险覆盖范围扩大对保险覆盖详细类别的影响,并使用证伪检验来评估模型本身。
某些关于州级父母保险覆盖范围扩大的已发表结果存在缺陷,报告的增加是由配偶保险覆盖范围的变化驱动的。其他已发表的结果似乎实际上是由父母保险覆盖范围驱动的,但它们对替代模型调整并不稳健。
本研究表明有证据表明一项关于“受抚养人”保险覆盖范围的研究结果实际上是由配偶保险覆盖率的变化驱动的。第二项研究的结果虽然对使用更传统的差分模型不稳健,但似乎最适用于那些在改革前通常会失去父母保险覆盖的年龄段的个人,这与“被动”效应而非使先前未参保青年参保的“主动”效应一致。