Melo Hygor Piaget M, Moreira André A, Batista Élcio, Makse Hernán A, Andrade José S
Departamento de Física, Universidade Federal do Ceará, 60451-970 Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil.
Laboratório de Estudos da Violência - LEV, Universidade Federal do Ceará, 60020-181 Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil.
Sci Rep. 2014 Sep 1;4:6239. doi: 10.1038/srep06239.
By treating the suicide as a social fact, Durkheim envisaged that suicide rates should be determined by the connections between people and society. Under the same framework, he considered that crime is bound up with the fundamental conditions of all social life. The social effect on the occurrence of homicides has been previously substantiated, and confirmed here, in terms of a superlinear scaling relation: by doubling the population of a Brazilian city results in an average increment of 135% in the number of homicides, rather than the expected isometric increase of 100%, as found, for example, for the mortality due to car crashes. Here we present statistical signs of the social influence on the suicide occurrence in cities. Differently from homicides (superlinear) and fatal events in car crashes (isometric), we find sublinear scaling behavior between the number of suicides and city population, with allometric power-law exponents, β = 0.84 ± 0.02 and 0.87 ± 0.01, for all cities in Brazil and US counties, respectively. Also for suicides in US, but using the Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), we obtain β = 0.88 ± 0.01.
通过将自杀视为一种社会事实,涂尔干设想自杀率应由人与社会之间的联系来决定。在同一框架下,他认为犯罪与所有社会生活的基本条件紧密相连。社会对凶杀案发生的影响此前已得到证实,在此也通过超线性比例关系得到确认:巴西一个城市的人口翻倍会导致凶杀案数量平均增加135%,而不是像车祸死亡率那样预期的等比例增加100%。在此我们展示了城市中社会对自杀发生影响的统计迹象。与凶杀案(超线性)和车祸致死事件(等比例)不同,我们发现自杀数量与城市人口之间存在次线性比例关系,巴西所有城市和美国各县的异速生长幂律指数β分别为0.84±0.02和0.87±0.01。同样对于美国的自杀情况,但使用大都市统计区(MSA)的数据,我们得到β = 0.88±0.01。