挖掘内部群体的智慧。
Harnessing the wisdom of the inner crowd.
机构信息
Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Center for Adaptive Rationality, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Center for Adaptive Rationality, Lentzeallee 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
出版信息
Trends Cogn Sci. 2014 Oct;18(10):504-6. doi: 10.1016/j.tics.2014.06.009.
Ever since Galton's classic demonstration of the wisdom of crowds in estimating the weight of a slaughtered ox, scholars of the mind and the public alike have been fascinated by the counterintuitive accuracy achieved by simply averaging a number of people's estimates. Surprisingly, individuals can, to some extent, harness the wisdom of crowds within the confines of their own mind by averaging self-generated, nonredundant estimates.
自从 Galton 经典地展示了群体在估计屠宰牛的重量方面的智慧以来，思维学者和公众都对简单地平均多人估计值所达到的反直觉准确性感到着迷。令人惊讶的是，个体在一定程度上可以通过平均自己生成的、非冗余的估计值，在自己的思维范围内利用群体的智慧。
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