Fallesen Peter, Emanuel Natalia, Wildeman Christopher
Rockwool Foundation Research Unit, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Sociology, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2014 Oct 9;9(10):e109207. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0109207. eCollection 2014.
Although recent research suggests that the cumulative risk of foster care placement is far higher for American children than originally suspected, little is known about the cumulative risk of foster care placement in other countries, which makes it difficult to gauge the degree to which factor foster care placement is salient in other contexts. In this article, we provide companion estimates to those provided in recent work on the US by using Danish registry data and synthetic cohort life tables to show how high and unequally distributed the cumulative risk of foster care placement is for Danish children. Results suggest that at the beginning of the study period (in 1998) the cumulative risk of foster care placement for Danish children was roughly in line with the risk for American children. Yet, by the end of the study period (2010), the risk had declined to half the risk for American children. Our results also show some variations by parental ethnicity and sex, but these differences are small. Indeed, they appear quite muted relative to racial/ethnic differences in these risks in the United States. Last, though cumulative risks are similar between Danish and American children (especially at the beginning of the study period), the age-specific risk profiles are markedly different, with higher risks for older Danish children than for older American children.
尽管最近的研究表明，美国儿童进入寄养机构的累积风险远高于最初的推测，但对于其他国家儿童进入寄养机构的累积风险却知之甚少，这使得难以衡量寄养安置因素在其他背景下的显著程度。在本文中，我们利用丹麦登记数据和综合队列生命表，提供与美国近期研究结果相对应的估计，以展示丹麦儿童进入寄养机构的累积风险有多高以及分布有多不均衡。结果表明，在研究期开始时（1998年），丹麦儿童进入寄养机构的累积风险大致与美国儿童相当。然而，到研究期结束时（2010年），这一风险已降至美国儿童的一半。我们的结果还显示，根据父母的种族和性别会有一些差异，但这些差异很小。事实上，与美国这些风险中的种族/民族差异相比，它们显得相当不明显。最后，尽管丹麦和美国儿童的累积风险相似（尤其是在研究期开始时），但特定年龄的风险分布明显不同，丹麦大龄儿童的风险高于美国大龄儿童。
