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坎帕拉创伤评分在撒哈拉以南非洲创伤队列中作为分诊工具的效用。

The utility of the Kampala trauma score as a triage tool in a sub-Saharan African trauma cohort.

作者信息

Haac Bryce, Varela Carlos, Geyer Andrew, Cairns Bruce, Charles Anthony

机构信息

Department of Surgery,UNC School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 4008 Burnett Womack Building, Chapel Hill, 7228, USA.

出版信息

World J Surg. 2015 Feb;39(2):356-62. doi: 10.1007/s00268-014-2830-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Trauma scoring systems have been developed to assess injury severity and may have triage potential. We sought to evaluate the ability of the Kampala trauma score (KTS) to assess injury severity and its potential as an outcome predictive tool in Malawi.

METHODS

This is a prospective cohort study of trauma patients presenting to Kamuzu Central Hospital in 2012. We recorded admission KTS and Revised trauma score (RTS), emergency department disposition, and hospital length of stay (LOS) and survival. Logistic regression and ROC curve analyses were used to compare the KTS to the widely accepted RTS.

RESULTS

15,617 patients presented with trauma. 2,884 (18 %) were admitted, of which 2,509 (95 %) survived. The mean admission KTS was 14.5 ± 0.6, and RTS was 11.9 ± 0.3. For KTS and RTS, the odds of admission with each increment increase in score was 0.44 and 0.3, respectively. Similarly, odds of mortality is 0.48 and 0.36. Neither KTS (p = 0.96, ROC area 0.5) nor RTS (p = 0.25, ROC area 0.5) correlated significantly with hospital LOS. KTS and RTS performed equally well as predictors of mortality, but KTS was a better predictor of need for admission (KTS ROC area 0.62, RTS ROC area 0.55, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Both the KTS and RTS were significantly associated with need for admission and final outcome on logistic regression analysis; however, they may not be strong enough predictors to merit their use as a screening tool in our setting.

摘要

背景

创伤评分系统已被开发用于评估损伤严重程度,并且可能具有分诊潜力。我们旨在评估坎帕拉创伤评分(KTS)在马拉维评估损伤严重程度的能力及其作为结局预测工具的潜力。

方法

这是一项对2012年就诊于卡穆祖中央医院的创伤患者进行的前瞻性队列研究。我们记录了入院时的KTS和修订创伤评分(RTS)、急诊科处置情况、住院时间(LOS)和生存情况。采用逻辑回归和ROC曲线分析将KTS与广泛接受的RTS进行比较。

结果

15617例患者出现创伤。2884例(18%)入院,其中2509例(95%)存活。入院时KTS的平均值为14.5±0.6,RTS为11.9±0.3。对于KTS和RTS,评分每增加一分,入院几率分别为0.44和0.3。同样,死亡几率分别为0.48和0.36。KTS(p = 0.96,ROC曲线下面积0.5)和RTS(p = 0.25,ROC曲线下面积0.5)与住院时间均无显著相关性。KTS和RTS作为死亡率预测指标的表现相当,但KTS是入院需求的更好预测指标(KTS的ROC曲线下面积为0.62,RTS的ROC曲线下面积为0.55,p < 0.001)。

结论

在逻辑回归分析中,KTS和RTS均与入院需求和最终结局显著相关;然而,它们可能不足以作为强有力的预测指标在我们的环境中用作筛查工具。

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