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天气状况对急性冠状动脉综合征紧急救护车呼叫的影响。

Effects of weather conditions on emergency ambulance calls for acute coronary syndromes.

作者信息

Vencloviene Jone, Babarskiene Ruta, Dobozinskas Paulius, Siurkaite Viktorija

机构信息

Department of Environmental Sciences, Vytautas Magnus University, Kaunas, Lithuania,

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2015 Aug;59(8):1083-93. doi: 10.1007/s00484-014-0921-6. Epub 2014 Oct 26.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between weather conditions and daily emergency ambulance calls for acute coronary syndromes (ACS). The study included data on 3631 patients who called the ambulance for chest pain and were admitted to the department of cardiology as patients with ACS. We investigated the effect of daily air temperature (T), barometric pressure (BP), relative humidity, and wind speed (WS) to detect the risk areas for low and high daily volume (DV) of emergency calls. We used the classification and regression tree method as well as cluster analysis. The clusters were created by applying the k-means cluster algorithm using the standardized daily weather variables. The analysis was performed separately during cold (October-April) and warm (May-September) seasons. During the cold period, the greatest DV was observed on days of low T during the 3-day sequence, on cold and windy days, and on days of low BP and high WS during the 3-day sequence; low DV was associated with high BP and decreased WS on the previous day. During June-September, a lower DV was associated with low BP, windless days, and high BP and low WS during the 3-day sequence. During the warm period, the greatest DV was associated with increased BP and changing WS during the 3-day sequence. These results suggest that daily T, BP, and WS on the day of the ambulance call and on the two previous days may be prognostic variables for the risk of ACS.

摘要

本研究旨在评估天气状况与急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)每日紧急救护呼叫之间的关系。该研究纳入了3631例因胸痛呼叫救护车并作为ACS患者入住心脏病科的数据。我们调查了每日气温(T)、气压(BP)、相对湿度和风速(WS)的影响,以检测紧急呼叫低日流量(DV)和高日流量的风险区域。我们使用了分类与回归树方法以及聚类分析。通过应用k均值聚类算法,使用标准化的每日天气变量创建聚类。分析在寒冷季节(10月至4月)和温暖季节(5月至9月)分别进行。在寒冷时期,在3天序列中气温低的日子、寒冷且有风的日子以及3天序列中气压低且风速高的日子观察到最大的DV;低DV与前一天的高气压和风速降低有关。在6月至9月期间,较低的DV与低气压、无风的日子以及3天序列中高气压和低风速有关。在温暖时期,最大的DV与3天序列中气压升高和风速变化有关。这些结果表明,呼叫救护车当天及前两天的每日气温、气压和风速可能是ACS风险的预后变量。

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