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院外心脏骤停患者存活至医院到达时的短期和长期生存趋势。

Trends in short- and long-term survival among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients alive at hospital arrival.

机构信息

From the Institute of Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (M.K.Y.W., F.Q., P.C.A., D.C.S., J.V.T., H.C.W., D.T.K.); Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (M.K.Y.W., L.J.M., S.C., P.D., D.C.S., J.V.T., P.R.V., H.C.W., D.T.K.); Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (L.J.M., S.C., P.D., P.R.V.); Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (S.C., D.C.S., J.V.T., P.R.V.); Schulich Heart Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (H.C.W., D.T.K.).

出版信息

Circulation. 2014 Nov 18;130(21):1883-90. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.114.010633.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with a poor prognosis and poses a significant burden to the healthcare system, but few studies have evaluated whether OHCA incidence and survival have changed over time.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A population-based cohort study was conducted, including 34 291 OHCA patients >20 years of age who were transported alive to the emergency department of an acute-care hospital from April 1, 2002, to March 31, 2012, in Ontario, Canada. Patients with life-threatening trauma and those who died before hospital arrival were excluded. The overall age- and sex-standardized incidence of OHCA patients who were transported alive was 36 cases per 100 000 persons and did not significantly change over the study period. Cardiac risk factor prevalence increased significantly, whereas the rate of most cardiovascular conditions decreased significantly. The 30-day survival improved from 9.4% in 2002 to 13.6% in 2011; 1-year survival improved from 7.7% to 11.8% (P<0.001). Patients hospitalized in 2011 were significantly more likely to survive 30 days (adjusted odds ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.22-1.77]) and 1 year (adjusted odds ratio, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.27-1.91]) compared with 2002. A significant interaction between temporal trends in survival improvement and age group was observed in which the improvement in survival was largest in the youngest age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

OHCA patients who were transported alive are increasingly likely to have cardiovascular risk factors but less likely to have previous cardiovascular conditions. The overall incidence of OHCA patients transported to hospital alive did not change over the past decade. Short- and longer-term survival after OHCA has substantially improved, with younger patients experiencing the greatest improvement.

摘要

背景

院外心脏骤停(OHCA)的预后较差,给医疗系统带来了巨大负担,但很少有研究评估 OHCA 的发病率和生存率是否随时间发生了变化。

方法和结果

本研究采用基于人群的队列研究,纳入了 2002 年 4 月 1 日至 2012 年 3 月 31 日期间,加拿大安大略省因 OHCA 被送往急症医院的 34291 例年龄>20 岁的存活患者。研究排除了有生命威胁性创伤和在到达医院前死亡的患者。总体上,经年龄和性别标准化后,存活 OHCA 患者的发病率为每 10 万人中有 36 例,且在研究期间无显著变化。心脏危险因素的患病率显著增加,而大多数心血管疾病的发生率显著下降。30 天生存率从 2002 年的 9.4%提高到 2011 年的 13.6%;1 年生存率从 7.7%提高到 11.8%(P<0.001)。与 2002 年相比,2011 年住院的患者存活 30 天(调整后比值比,1.47[95%CI,1.22-1.77])和 1 年(调整后比值比,1.55[95%CI,1.27-1.91])的可能性显著增加。观察到生存改善的时间趋势与年龄组之间存在显著交互作用,在最年轻的年龄组中,生存改善最大。

结论

被送往医院的存活 OHCA 患者患有心血管危险因素的可能性越来越大,但既往心血管疾病的可能性越来越小。过去十年,被送往医院的 OHCA 患者的总体发病率没有变化。OHCA 后短期和长期生存率均有显著提高,年轻患者的改善最为显著。

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