James Spencer L
School of Family Life, Brigham Young University, 2061 JFSB, Provo, UT 84602, United States.
Soc Sci Res. 2015 Jan;49:16-30. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2014.07.010. Epub 2014 Jul 31.
I examine variation in trajectories of women's marital quality across the life course. The analysis improves upon earlier research in three ways: (1) the analysis uses a sequential cohort design and data from the first 35years of marriage; (2) I analyze rich data from a national sample; (3) I examine multiple dimensions of marital quality. Latent class growth analyses estimated on data from women in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth-1979 (N=2604) suggest multiple trajectories for each of three dimensions of marital quality, including two trajectories of marital happiness, two trajectories of marital communication, and three trajectories of marital conflict. Socioeconomic and demographic covariates are then used to illustrate how factors such as income, cohabitation, and race-ethnicity set individuals at risk of poor marital quality throughout the life course by differentiating between high and low trajectories of marital quality. Women on low marital quality trajectories are, as expected, at much greater risk of divorce. Taken together, these findings show how fundamental socioeconomic and demographic characteristics contribute to subsequent marital outcomes via their influence on trajectories of marital quality as well as providing a better picture of the complexity in contemporary patterns of marital quality.
我研究了女性婚姻质量在整个生命历程中的轨迹变化。该分析在三个方面改进了早期研究:(1)分析采用了序列队列设计,并使用了婚姻头35年的数据;(2)我分析了来自全国样本的丰富数据;(3)我考察了婚姻质量的多个维度。基于1979年全国青年纵向调查中女性的数据(N = 2604)进行的潜在类别增长分析表明,婚姻质量的三个维度各有多种轨迹,包括婚姻幸福感的两种轨迹、婚姻沟通的两种轨迹以及婚姻冲突的三种轨迹。然后,利用社会经济和人口统计学协变量来说明收入、同居和种族等因素如何通过区分婚姻质量的高轨迹和低轨迹,使个体在整个生命历程中面临婚姻质量差的风险。正如预期的那样,处于低婚姻质量轨迹的女性离婚风险要高得多。综合来看,这些发现表明了基本的社会经济和人口特征如何通过对婚姻质量轨迹的影响,对随后的婚姻结果产生影响,同时也更清晰地展现了当代婚姻质量模式的复杂性。