Bramlett Matthew D, Mosher William D
Vital Health Stat 23. 2002 Jul(22):1-93.
This report presents national estimates of the probabilities of marital and cohabitation outcomes for women 15-44 years of age in 1995, by a wide variety of individual- and community-level characteristics. The life-table analysis in this report takes a life cycle approach to estimate the probabilities that: a woman will marry for the first time, an intact first cohabitation will make the transition to marriage, a first cohabitation will end in separation, a first marriage will end in separation or divorce, a disrupted first marriage will be followed by a new cohabitation, a separation from first marriage will result in divorce, a divorce from first marriage will be followed by remarriage, and a second marriage will end in separation or divorce.
The life-table estimates presented here are based on a nationally representative sample of women 15-44 years of age in the United States in 1995 from the National Survey of Family Growth, Cycle 5.
The analyses show that various individual and community-level characteristics are related to the marital and cohabitational outcomes examined in this report. The results consistently demonstrate that the cohabitations and marriages of non-Hispanic black women are less stable than those of non-Hispanic white women. An analysis of trends over time suggests that differences by race/ethnicity are becoming more pronounced in recent years. Racial differences observed are associated with individual characteristics and with the characteristics of the communities in which the women live.
本报告呈现了1995年15 - 44岁女性婚姻和同居结局概率的全国性估计数据,这些数据按各种个人层面和社区层面特征划分。本报告中的生命表分析采用生命周期方法来估计以下概率:一名女性首次结婚、一段完整的首次同居关系转变为婚姻、首次同居关系以分居告终、首次婚姻以分居或离婚告终、一段破裂的首次婚姻之后会有新的同居关系、首次婚姻的分居会导致离婚、首次婚姻的离婚之后会再婚,以及第二次婚姻以分居或离婚告终。
此处呈现的生命表估计值基于1995年美国全国生育情况调查第5轮中抽取的15 - 44岁女性的全国代表性样本。
分析表明,各种个人层面和社区层面特征与本报告所考察的婚姻和同居结局相关。结果一致表明,非西班牙裔黑人女性的同居和婚姻关系不如非西班牙裔白人女性稳定。对随时间变化趋势的分析表明,近年来种族/族裔差异变得更加明显。观察到的种族差异与个人特征以及女性所居住社区的特征有关。