Sathar Zeba, Singh Susheela, Rashida Gul, Shah Zakir, Niazi Rehan
Country Director, Population Council, House No. 7, Street No. 62, Section F-6/3, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Stud Fam Plann. 2014 Dec;45(4):471-91. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4465.2014.00004.x.
During the past decade, unmet need for family planning has remained high in Pakistan and gains in contraceptive prevalence have been small. Drawing upon data from a 2012 national study on postabortion-care complications and a methodology developed by the Guttmacher Institute for estimating abortion incidence, we estimate that there were 2.2 million abortions in Pakistan in 2012, an annual abortion rate of 50 per 1,000 women. A previous study estimated an abortion rate of 27 per 1,000 women in 2002. After taking into consideration the earlier study's underestimation of abortion incidence, we conclude that the abortion rate has likely increased substantially between 2002 and 2012. Varying contraceptive-use patterns and abortion rates are found among the provinces, with higher abortion rates in Baluchistan and Sindh than in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab. This suggests that strategies for coping with the other wise uniformly high unintended pregnancy rates will differ among provinces. The need for an accelerated and fortified family planning program is greater than ever, as is the need to implement strategies to improve the quality and coverage of postabortion services.
在过去十年间,巴基斯坦对计划生育的未满足需求一直居高不下,避孕普及率的增长也微乎其微。根据2012年一项关于流产后护理并发症的全国性研究数据以及古特马赫研究所制定的估算流产发生率的方法,我们估计2012年巴基斯坦有220万例流产,即每1000名妇女的年流产率为50例。此前一项研究估计2002年每1000名妇女的流产率为27例。在考虑到早期研究对流产发生率的低估后,我们得出结论,2002年至2012年间流产率可能大幅上升。各省的避孕使用模式和流产率各不相同,俾路支省和信德省的流产率高于开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省和旁遮普省。这表明,应对原本普遍较高的意外怀孕率的策略在各省会有所不同。加快并加强计划生育项目的需求比以往任何时候都更为迫切,实施提高流产后服务质量和覆盖面的策略的需求也是如此。